Air Force Falcons vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 11/24/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Friday, November 24, 2023

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Air Force Falcons (8-3) are headed to Albertsons Stadium on Friday, November 24, 2023 where they will go up against the Boise State Broncos (6-5). Air Force opens as 4-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 46.5.

The Air Force Falcons head into this matchup 8-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Falcons played the UNLV Rebels and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-27. Jensen Jones connected on 1/6 with 35 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 65.7 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. Dylan Carson was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 16 totes for 104 yds (6.5 yds per carry). The Air Force Falcons ran the ball a total of 65 times and totaled 340 yds, which came out to an average of 5.2 yards per tote. Once the final whistle blew, they had 74 plays which gave them a total of 400 yards. Air Force relinquished 16 pass completions on 30 attempts for 351 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.3%. When it came to stopping the run, the Falcons conceded 114 yards on 33 attempts, which calculates to 3.5 yards per run allowed.

The Falcons have racked up 4,028 yards in total this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Air Force has compiled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 31 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 17 times. Air Force has recorded 222 first downs as a team, and they have committed 36 penalties for 303 yds. As a team they're maintaining an average of 281.7 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 2nd in the country. Concerning scoring, the Air Force Falcons are averaging 28.4 PPG.

The Falcons rank 13th in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 17.1 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.9 yards per run and 88.5 rushing yards per game so far this year. For the season, they have given up 974 rushing yards through 11 games. When talking about passing yards, the Falcons have conceded 1,944 yards which has them ranked 11th in D-1. They have relinquished 176.7 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 60.8%. During the season, they are giving up 265.3 yards/contest which puts them 4th in the country. They have granted 14 touchdowns by air in addition to 9 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Broncos head into this matchup 6-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Broncos took home the win by a final score of 45-10 against the Utah State Aggies. George Holani carried the rock 15 times for 178 yds, ending the game with 11.9 yards per attempt for Boise State. Taylen Green (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 93 yds on 8/17 through the air while his QB rating was 131.8. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 5.5. Boise State gave up 42 rushing attempts for 164 yds (3.9 yds per rush). The Broncos secondary allowed a completion percentage of 53.3%, surrendering 209 yds on 16 for 30 passing. The Broncos ended up finishing with 445 yards and they ran 66 plays (6.7 yds per play). Boise State rushed for 7.3 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 352 yards on 48 carries.

The Boise State Broncos are averaging 439.8 yards per contest, which ranks them 26th in the country. The Boise State offense has 389 yards of penalties on 44 infractions, ranking them 126th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They are averaging 210.1 run yards per game and have run for 2,311 yards overall. They have given away 9 picks while surrendering 8 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 245 1st downs. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Broncos are ranking 35th in D-1 scoring 32.5 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 2,527 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 229.7 passing yards per game, ranking them 62nd in the country.

The Broncos are relinquishing 25.8 points per game, ranking them 65th in Division 1. Boise State has given up a total of 1,320 rushing yards (120.0 yards/game) in addition to 18 touchdowns via the rush for the season. This year, they have allowed 284 points in total. They have given up 17 touchdowns via the pass and 266.1 yards per game, ranking them 125th in Division 1. The Broncos defense has taken the field for 699 plays, which ranks them 35th in the nation. They have earned 7 fumbles and 8 interceptions this season.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +4

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