Virginia Cavaliers vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 10/1/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Virginia Cavaliers vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, NC

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Devils (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 56

The Duke Blue Devils (3-1) will play the Virginia Cavaliers (2-2) at Wallace Wade Stadium on Saturday. Duke opens this game as 2-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 56.

The Virginia Cavaliers head into this matchup 2-2 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Cavaliers played against the Syracuse Orange and took a loss by a final of 22-20. Brennan Armstrong finished 19/38 with 138 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 83.9 and finished the game with 1 interception. Perris Jones led the offense in rushing for the Cavaliers with 13 totes for 87 yds (6.7 yards per carry). The Virginia Cavaliers ended up rushing 29 times and totaled 149 yds, earning them an average of 5.1 yards per tote. On the day, they ran 67 plays which converted into 287 yds. Virginia surrendered 22 pass completions on 33 tries for a total of 277 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the running game, the Cavaliers gave up 75 yds on 38 attempts, which calculates to 2.0 yds per run allowed.

The Cavaliers have tallied 1,527 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Virginia has compiled 3 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 times. Virginia has accumulated 84 1st downs, and they have committed 31 infractions for 275 yards. As a unit they are averaging 169.8 yards rushing ranking this team at 60th in the nation. When talking about putting points on the board, the Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 18.3 points per game.

When talking about passing yardage, the Cavaliers are allowing 868 yds which ranks them 63rd in the nation. They have relinquished 217.0 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 65.9%. Overall, they have given up 350.0 yards/contest which puts them 50th in D-1. They have granted 5 touchdowns by air and 2 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.5 yards per run and 133.0 yards on the ground per game on the year. During the season, they have allowed 532 yards via the ground game in 4 games. The Cavaliers sit in 38th in D-1 in terms of team defense, giving up 19.3 points per game.

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The Blue Devils head into this game 3-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Blue Devils went home defeated by a final of 35-27 when they played the Kansas Jayhawks. Riley Leonard (1 TD) finished the game with 324 yds on 24/35 passing while his QB rating was 155.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 9.3. Riley Leonard carried the ball 10 times for 54 yds, ending the game with 5.4 yards per carry for Duke. Duke ran the ball for 4.0 yds per carry, finishing the game with 139 yds on 35 attempts. The Blue Devils finished the game with 463 yds while they ran 71 plays (6.5 yds per play). The Blue Devils passing defense gave up a completion rate of 82.6%, relinquishing 324 yds on 19 out of 23 passing. Duke conceded 39 attempts on the ground for 213 yds (5.5 yards per rush).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Blue Devils sit 50th in D-1 maintaining an average of 34.3 points per outing. Over the course of the season to this point, the Blue Devils have thrown for a total of 1,090 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 272.5 passing yards per contest, which ranks 46th in college football. The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 461.0 yards per contest, which has them ranked 37th in Division 1. The Duke offense has totaled 229 yds of penalties on 25 violations, which has them ranked 71st in the nation in terms of giving up free yards.

Duke has conceded a total of 571 yards rushing (142.8 yards/game) in addition to 3 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. They have conceded 7 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 252.5 yards/game, ranking them 94th in the nation. The Blue Devils defense has taken part in 277 plays, which is good for 76th in the nation. The Blue Devils are surrendering 19.5 PPG, which has them 40th in the country. This year, they have relinquished 78 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Cavaliers/Blue Devils college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Devils -2

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