Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 9/24/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Saturday, September 24, 2022

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Crimson Tide (-38)

Total/Over-Under: 60

The Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0) are hosting the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-1) at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday. Vanderbilt opens as 38-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 60.

The Vanderbilt Commodores step onto the field holding a record of 3-1 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Commodores played the NIU Huskies and went home with a win by a final score of 38-28. AJ Swann went 18/28 with 255 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rating of 187.9 and finished the game with no picks. Re'Mahn Davis was the best rusher for the Commodores with 23 carries for 116 yards (5.0 yards per carry). The Vanderbilt Commodores ran the football 39 different times and accounted for 173 yds, which is an average of 4.4 yards per tote. In all, they had 67 plays which totaled 428 yards. Vanderbilt relinquished 19 pass completions on 26 tries for 203 yds, and a completion rate of 73.1%. On the ground, the Commodores gave up 151 yds on 31 attempts, which is 4.9 yds per rush surrendered.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Vanderbilt Commodores are averaging 42.0 points per game. As a team they're averaging 217.3 yards rushing which has them sitting 29th in the nation. The Commodores have earned 1,747 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Vanderbilt has totaled 12 touchdowns via the pass and 9 rushing touchdowns. Vanderbilt has earned 77 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 20 penalties for 187 yds. They have turned the ball over 6 times.

When it comes to passing yards, the Commodores are giving up 1,096 yards which puts them in 126th in the nation. They have given up 274.0 yards per contest via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 60.0%. Overall, they are allowing 414.5 yards per outing ranking them 101st in the country. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 5 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.0 yards per tote and 140.5 rushing yards per game for the season. During this campaign, they have allowed 562 running yards through 4 outings. The Commodores rank 87th in D-1 regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 28.5 points per game.

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The Crimson Tide head into this matchup 3-0 for this year. For their last game, the Crimson Tide got the win with a final of 63-7 when they faced the UL Monroe Warhawks. Bryce Young (3 TDs) finished the contest with 236 yds on 13/18 through the air while his QB rate was 215.1. He tossed 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 13.1. Roydell Williams ran the football 8 times for 58 yds, ending the game with 7.3 yds per carry for Alabama. The Crimson Tide finished the game with a total of 509 yards while running 59 plays (8.6 yds per play). Alabama rushed for 7.0 yards per tote, finishing the game with 273 yards on 39 carries. Alabama surrendered 40 rushing attempts for 78 yards (2.0 yards per rush). The Crimson Tide passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 50.0%, surrendering 91 yards on 12 out of 24 passing.

The Alabama Crimson Tide average 480.7 yards/game, which has them sitting 27th in D-1. The Alabama offense has 200 yds of penalties on 27 violations, which is good for 14th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. For the season to this point, the Crimson Tide have racked up 730 yards via the pass along with an average of 243.3 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 74th in the country. Regarding how much they score, the Crimson Tide are sitting 11th in D-1 with an average of 46.0 PPG.

Alabama has conceded a total of 236 yards on the ground (78.7 yards per game) in addition to 2 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have yielded 0 TDs through the air as well as 146.7 yards per game, which has them sitting 8th in the country. The Crimson Tide defense has been on the field for 190 plays, ranking them 36th in D-1. The Crimson Tide are giving up 8.7 PPG, which has them 10th in Division 1. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 26 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Crimson Tide college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Crimson Tide -38

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