UMass Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 9/10/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Saturday, September 10, 2022

Location: Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Rockets (-30.5)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The Toledo Rockets (1-0) will play the UMass Minutemen (0-1) at Glass Bowl on Saturday. UMass opens this matchup as 30.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 54.

The UMass Minutemen come into this matchup with a record of 0-1 this year. The last time they took the field, the Minutemen faced off with the Tulane Green Wave and ended up losing by a score of 42-10. Brady Olson connected on 2/5 with 5 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 8.4 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. Tim Baldwin Jr. led the offense in rushing for the Minutemen with 13 totes for 65 yards (5.0 yards per carry). When the final whistle blew, they had 69 plays which converted into 217 yds. The UMass Minutemen ended up rushing 58 times and had 200 yds, which is an average of 3.4 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Minutemen conceded 196 yds on 39 attempts, which calculates to 5.0 yds per run allowed. UMass relinquished 13 completions on 22 tries for a total of 173 yds, and a completion percentage of 59.1%.

The Minutemen tallied 3,613 total yards for the prior year. UMass amassed 11 passing touchdowns and 14 touchdowns via the ground. They gave the ball to the opposition 20 different times. UMass compiled 196 1st downs as a unit, and they committed 76 penalties for 734 yards. As a team they had an average of 148.0 yds via the ground game, giving them a rank of 80th in D-1. In terms of getting in the endzone, the UMass Minutemen averaged 16.3 points per game.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Minutemen gave up 2,995 yds which had them sitting in 77th in Division 1. In their 12 games, they conceded 249.6 yards per game via the pass in addition to relinquishing a completion percentage of 64.5%. They allowed 486.6 yards per outing which ranked them 125th in college football. They relinquished 24 touchdowns through the air and 43 rushing touchdowns. They allowed 5.9 yards per tote and 237.0 rushing yards per game last season. Overall, they gave up 2,844 yards via the ground game in 12 contests. The Minutemen were sitting in 130th in the nation concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 43.1 points per game.

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The Rockets come into this game with a record of 1-0 this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Rockets walked away with a victory by a final of 37-0 when they played the Long Island University. DeQuan Finn (2 TDs) finished the game with 201 yards on 21/28 through the air while his QB rate was 151.7. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.2. DeQuan Finn carried the ball 12 times for 64 yards, ending the contest with 5.3 yards per attempt for Toledo. The Rockets ended up finishing with 427 yds and they ran 75 plays (5.7 yards per play). Toledo rushed for 4.9 yds per attempt, totaling 226 yards on 46 attempts. Toledo surrendered 34 running attempts for 45 yards (1.3 yds per carry). The Rockets passing defense gave up a completion rate of 53.8%, surrendering 68 yds on 14 out of 26 passing.

The Toledo Rockets had an average of 435.5 yards/game, which had them ranked 38th in D-1. The Toledo offense compiled 1173 penalty yds on 130 infractions, ranking them 1st in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. Last season, the Rockets compiled 3,108 yards via the pass as well as averaging 239.1 passing yards per game, which had them sitting 61st in the country. In relation to how much they scored, the Rockets had a ranking of 27th in Division 1 averaging 33.4 points per game.

Toledo allowed the opposition a total of 1,975 yards rushing (151.9 yards/game) as well as 10 touchdowns via the rush last season. They conceded 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 198.0 yards/game, which had them ranked 22nd in college football. The Rockets defense took the field for 930 plays, which ranked 105th in Division 1. The Rockets surrendered 21.8 points per contest, which had them ranked 27th in the country. Last season, they relinquished 283 total points.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Rockets college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rockets -30.5

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