UMass Minutemen vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 11/12/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, November 12, 2022

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wolves (-17.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-7) will take on the UMass Minutemen (1-8) at Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday. Arkansas State opens as 17.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 50.

The UMass Minutemen step onto the field holding a record of 1-8 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Minutemen faced the Connecticut Huskies and took a loss by a score of 27-10. Ellis Merriweather was the rushing leader for the Minutemen with 12 totes for 33 yds (2.8 yds per carry). Brady Olson went 19/34 with 266 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 125.4 and finished the game with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Minutemen conceded 274 yards on 45 attempts, which averages out to 6.1 yards per run surrendered. UMass conceded 6 pass completions on 13 attempts for a total of 60 yds, and a completion rate of 46.2%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 66 plays which gave them a total of 351 yds. The UMass Minutemen ran the football 32 different times and amassed 85 yards, earning them an average of 2.7 yds per attempt.

Regarding putting points on the board, the UMass Minutemen have an average of 11.9 points per outing. As a unit they're holding an average of 157.2 yards on the ground ranking them 61st in Division 1. The Minutemen have earned 2,311 total yards over the course of this season. In terms of scoring, UMass has totaled 2 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. UMass has accounted for 128 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 76 infractions for 681 yards. They have turned the ball over 13 times.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Minutemen are giving up 1,703 yards which ranks them 24th in the nation. They are conceding 189.2 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 53.6%. Over the course of this season, they are allowing 374.0 yards per game which has them ranked 66th in the nation. They have relinquished 14 touchdowns through the air and 20 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per running attempt and 184.8 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. For the year, they have given up 1,663 yards on the ground through 9 contests. The Minutemen rank 99th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 30.4 PPG.

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The Red Wolves come into this matchup with a record of 2-7 this season. In their last game, the Red Wolves took a loss by a final score of 31-3 against the South Alabama Jaguars. James Blackman ended the game with 177 yds on 22/39 passing while his quarterback rating was 94.5. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.5. Marcel Murray carried the rock 4 times for 15 yards, finishing the contest with 3.8 yds per carry for Arkansas State. The Red Wolves ended up finishing with 158 yds and they ran 58 plays (2.7 yards per play). Arkansas State rushed the football for -1.0 yards per tote, finishing the game with -19 yds on 19 attempts. Arkansas State allowed 47 rushing attempts for 183 yards (3.9 yards per rush). The Red Wolves pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 70.8%, relinquishing 179 yards on 17 out of 24 passing.

Concerning their ability to score points, the Red Wolves rank 83rd in Division 1 holding an average of 25.9 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the Red Wolves currently sit at 2,119 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 235.4 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 67th in the nation. The Arkansas State Red Wolves hold an average of 328.0 yards/game, ranking them 113th in college football. The Arkansas State offense has compiled 539 yards of penalties on 57 violations, which is good for 64th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team.

The Red Wolves are conceding 31.1 PPG, which puts them 105th in D-1. Arkansas State has allowed a total of 1,369 yards rushing (152.1 yards/game) and 15 touchdowns via the rush for the season. This season, they have conceded 280 points in total. They have conceded 22 touchdowns through the air and 251.7 yards/contest, which has them in 96th in the nation. The Red Wolves defense has participated in 600 plays, which has them ranked 46th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Minutemen +17.5

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