UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 10/1/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wolves (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 59.5

The UL Monroe Warhawks (2-2) are hitting the road to Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday where they will play the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3). Arkansas State opens as 9.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 59.5.

The UL Monroe Warhawks head into this game 2-2 for this season. In their last game, the Warhawks stepped onto the field against the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and went home with a win by a final score of 21-17. Chandler Rogers finished 14/26 with 192 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 108.2 and finished the game with 1 interception. Malik Jackson led the offense in rushing for the Warhawks with 14 attempts for 41 yards (2.9 yards per carry). The UL Monroe Warhawks ended up running the ball 39 times and totaled 227 yards, which came out to an average of 5.8 yards per tote. Once the final whistle blew, they had 65 plays which totaled 419 yds. UL Monroe surrendered 25 pass completions on 41 tries for a total of 268 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.0%. On the ground, the Warhawks gave up 80 yds on 38 attempts, which is 2.1 yards per rush surrendered.

The Warhawks have tallied 1,271 yards in total for the season. In terms of scoring, UL Monroe has amassed 2 passing touchdowns and 8 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 4 different times. UL Monroe has 61 1st downs, and they have been called for 18 infractions for 158 yards. Offensively they average 141.0 yards via the ground game ranking them 89th in Division 1. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the UL Monroe Warhawks are averaging 18.3 points per outing.

The Warhawks are sitting in 112th in Division 1 regarding team defense, conceding 34.8 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per running attempt and 140.5 rushing yards per contest this year. Overall, they have allowed 562 running yards through 4 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Warhawks have conceded 984 yds which has them sitting in 87th in college football. They have yielded 246.0 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.6%. During the season, they have allowed 386.5 yards per contest which has them sitting 78th in D-1. They have yielded 7 touchdowns by air in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Red Wolves come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last game, the Red Wolves took a defeat with a final score of 29-26 when they faced the Old Dominion Monarchs. James Blackman (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 285 yards on 23/35 passing while his QB rating was 137.8. He had 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 8.1. AJ Mayer carried the ball 7 times for 46 yards, finishing the contest with 6.6 yards per carry for Arkansas State. The Red Wolves finished the game with 397 yds while running 82 plays (4.8 yards per play). Arkansas State ran the ball for 2.4 yds per carry, finishing the game with 112 yds on 47 attempts. Arkansas State conceded 26 run attempts for 51 yards (2.0 yards per carry). The Red Wolves pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 59.4%, relinquishing 279 yards on 19 for 32 through the air.

Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Red Wolves are ranked 61st in Division 1 with 32.0 PPG. For the year so far, the Red Wolves have compiled 1,016 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 254.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 61st in Division 1. The Arkansas State Red Wolves maintain an average of 403.8 yards per contest, which ranks them 75th in the nation. The Arkansas State offense has compiled 247 yds of penalties on 27 infractions, which ranks 47th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Red Wolves are allowing 30.3 points per contest, ranking them 92nd in the country. Arkansas State has allowed a total of 456 yards rushing (114.0 yards/game) in addition to 6 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 121 points. They have conceded 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 265.3 yards per game, which puts them in 103rd in Division 1. The Red Wolves defense has been on the field for 236 plays, which is 24th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Warhawks/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Wolves -9.5

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