UCF Knights vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, 11/5/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Memphis Tigers

Date: Saturday, November 5, 2022

Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+6)

Total/Over-Under: 60

Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium is the site where the Memphis Tigers (4-4) will attempt to beat the UCF Knights (6-2) on Saturday. UCF is 6-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 60.

The UCF Knights come into this matchup with a record of 6-2 for this year. In their last game, the Knights took the field against the Cincinnati Bearcats and walked away with a win by a score of 25-21. Mikey Keene connected on 15/21 with 176 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 141.8 and finished the game without throwing an interception. R.J. Harvey was the rushing leader for the Knights with 18 carries for 84 yards (4.7 yards per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 84 plays which gave them a total of 505 yards. The UCF Knights ended up running the ball 52 different times and compiled 258 yds, which came out to an average of 5.0 yds per carry. Against the run, the Knights gave up 35 yards on 18 tries, which is an average of 1.9 yards per run allowed. UCF gave up 25 completions on 46 attempts for a total of 298 yds, and a completion rate of 54.3%.

The Knights have attained 4,082 total yards for the year. In terms of getting in the endzone, UCF has amassed 11 passing touchdowns and 23 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 13 different times. UCF has amassed 205 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 43 infractions for 415 yards. As a team they are averaging 244.4 yards on the ground which ranks them 8th in the country. When it comes to scoring points, the UCF Knights are averaging 35.8 PPG.

The Knights sit in 18th in the country regarding team defense, giving up 17.6 PPG. The opposition is running for 3.7 yards per rush on the ground and 115.9 yards on the ground per game on the year. During the season, they have allowed 927 rushing yards through 8 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Knights have conceded 1,885 yds which ranks them 70th in the nation. They have conceded 235.6 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 57.1%. Over the course of this year, they have relinquished 351.5 yards per outing ranking them 40th in the nation. They have yielded 6 touchdowns by air in addition to 9 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Tigers come into this game with a record of 4-4 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Tigers walked away with a loss by a score of 38-28 when they faced the Tulane Green Wave. Seth Henigan ran the ball 13 times for 42 yds, finishing the game with 3.2 yards per carry for Memphis. Seth Henigan (3 TDs) ended the contest with 312 yds on 26/41 passing while his QB rating was 141.7. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.6. Memphis conceded 41 rush attempts for 186 yards (4.5 yds per rush). The Tigers passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 69.0%, surrendering 158 yds on 20 for 29 through the air. The Tigers finished the contest with a total of 415 yards while running 74 plays (5.6 yds per play). Memphis ran for 3.1 yards per tote, finishing the game with 103 yds on 33 attempts.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Tigers currently sit 31st in Division 1 with 34.6 PPG. During this campaign so far, the Tigers have compiled 2,265 passing yards as well as an average of 283.1 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 28th in Division 1. The Memphis Tigers average 417.8 yards per game, which has them sitting 55th in the nation. The Memphis offense has totaled 294 penalty yds on 34 infractions, which is 125th in the country in terms of giving up free yards.

Memphis has allowed the opposition a total of 1,013 yards rushing (126.6 yards per contest) and 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have allowed the opposition 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 283.5 yards/game, ranking them 122nd in the nation. The Tigers defense has taken the field for 585 plays, which is good for 97th in the nation. The Tigers are allowing 31.1 points per contest, which has them sitting 107th in Division 1. Overall, they have conceded 249 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Knights -6

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