UCF Knights vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 12/28/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Wednesday, December 28, 2022

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Devils (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

The UCF Knights (9-4) are traveling to Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Wednesday, December 28, 2022 where they will try to defeat the Duke Blue Devils (8-4) in the Military Bowl. UCF opens this game as 3.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 60.5.

The UCF Knights come into this matchup with a record of 9-4 this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Knights played against the Tulane Green Wave and took a loss by a score of 45-28. Isaiah Bowser was the leader on the ground for the Knights with 20 carries for 85 yards (4.3 yds per carry). John Rhys Plumlee went 21/39 with 209 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 107.3 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Knights gave up 254 yds on 31 attempts, which is 8.2 yards per rush allowed. UCF surrendered 20 completions on 33 tries for 394 yards, and a completion rate of 60.6%. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 96 plays for 410 yards. The UCF Knights ran the ball 48 times and accrued 145 yds, which is an average of 3.0 yds per carry.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the UCF Knights hold an average of 34.4 points per game. As a team they're averaging 236.1 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 8th in the country. The Knights have earned 6,248 total yards this season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, UCF has compiled 22 touchdowns through the air and 33 touchdowns via the ground. UCF has compiled 321 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 65 penalties for 621 yards. They have turned the football over 21 different times.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Knights have allowed 2,939 yds which has them ranked 93rd in the country. They have surrendered 226.1 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 58.7%. For the year, they have allowed 382.3 yards/contest which ranks them 71st in the nation. They have allowed 16 touchdowns by air as well as 21 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 156.2 rushing yards per contest this year. During the season, they have given up 2,031 rushing yards through 13 games. The Knights rank 39th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 23.2 points per contest.

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The Blue Devils step onto the field holding a record of 8-4 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Blue Devils got the victory with a final of 34-31 when they faced the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Riley Leonard (4 touchdowns) ended the game with 391 yards on 29/41 passing while his quarterback rating was 178.2. He had 1 pick and his Y/A was 9.5. Jaquez Moore carried the rock 6 times for 62 yds, finishing the game with 10.3 yds per attempt for Duke. The Blue Devils finished the game with 507 yds and they ran 71 plays (7.1 yards per play). Duke ended up running for 3.9 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 116 yards on 30 carries. Duke relinquished 32 running attempts for 106 yds (3.3 yds per rush). The Blue Devils pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 61.9%, surrendering 347 yds on 26 for 42 passing.

The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 421.2 yards per outing, ranking them 41st in college football. The Duke offense has racked up 652 yds of penalties on 67 violations, which is good for 89th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. For the season so far, the Blue Devils have racked up 2,837 passing yards in addition to an average of 236.4 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 60th in Division 1. In relation to their ability to score points, the Blue Devils currently sit 34th in the nation holding an average of 33.1 PPG.

Duke has conceded a total of 1,453 rushing yards (121.1 yards per contest) and 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. They have given up 25 touchdowns via the pass and 262.3 yards/contest, which has them ranked 108th in Division 1. The Blue Devils defense has taken part in 820 plays, which has them sitting 53rd in D-1. The Blue Devils are conceding 22.8 points per game, which puts them 36th in Division 1. This season, they have relinquished 274 total points.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Blue Devils college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Knights -3.5

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