Troy Trojans vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 10/1/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

The Troy Trojans (2-2) are headed to Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1). Troy opens this game as 6-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 57.5.

The Troy Trojans head into this matchup 2-2 for this season. In their last contest, the Trojans went up against the Marshall Thundering Herd and went home with a win by a final score of 16-7. DK Billingsley was the leader on the ground for the Trojans with 14 attempts for 85 yds (6.1 yds per carry). Gunnar Watson went 15/25 with 321 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 159.9 and finished the contest with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Trojans conceded 96 yards on 48 attempts, which averages out to 2.0 yds per run surrendered. Troy surrendered 11 completions on 21 attempts for 78 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.4%. In all, they had 56 plays which gave them 421 yards. The Troy Trojans ran the rock 31 times and accounted for 100 yards, which had them averaging 3.2 yds per carry.

The Trojans have earned 1,648 total yards for the season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Troy has compiled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 9 times. Troy has 84 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 26 infractions for 209 yds. As a team they average 68.8 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 126th in D-1. Regarding scoring, the Troy Trojans hold an average of 23.0 points per game.

The Trojans rank 49th in college football when it comes to team defense, giving up 21.0 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.6 yards per rush and 146.8 rushing yards per game on the season. In total, they have allowed 587 running yards through 4 games. Regarding passing yardage, the Trojans are giving up 832 yards which has them ranked 55th in D-1. They have yielded 208.0 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 57.0%. In total, they are giving up 354.8 yards/game which ranks them 56th in the nation. They have conceded 4 touchdowns by air and 7 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 3-1 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Hilltoppers walked away with a victory by a final of 73-0 when they played the FIU Panthers. L.T. Sanders carried the rock 4 times for 73 yds, ending the game with 18.3 yards per attempt for Western Kentucky. Austin Reed (5 TDs) ended the game with 383 yds on 30/35 passing while his QB rate was 224.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 10.9. Western Kentucky surrendered 33 rushing attempts for 61 yds (1.8 yards per carry). The Hilltoppers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 54.3%, surrendering 124 yards on 19 out of 35 through the air. The Hilltoppers finished the contest with a total of 690 yds on 72 plays (9.6 yards per play). Western Kentucky ran the ball for 7.8 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 210 yards on 27 carries.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers hold an average of 508.8 yards per game, which has them sitting 11th in the nation. The Western Kentucky offense has racked up 261 penalty yds on 26 violations, which is 54th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. During the season thus far, the Hilltoppers have thrown for a total of 1,360 yards through the air in addition to an average of 340.0 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 11th in college football. When discussing their ability to score points, the Hilltoppers sit 6th in the nation by scoring 47.5 points per outing.

Western Kentucky has surrendered a total of 432 rushing yards (108.0 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns on the ground on the season. They have allowed the opposition 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 229.0 yards per game, which puts them in 72nd in the country. The Hilltoppers defense has taken part in 307 plays, which ranks 109th in Division 1. The Hilltoppers are surrendering 19.3 points per game, which has them ranked 37th in Division 1. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 77 total points.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Trojans +6

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