Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction, 10/20/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars

Date: Thursday, October 20, 2022

Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Troy Trojans (5-2) are headed to Hancock Whitney Stadium on Thursday where they will try to beat the South Alabama Jaguars (5-1). Troy opens this contest as 4-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 48.

The Troy Trojans head into this game 5-2 this season. In their last game, the Trojans faced the Texas State Bobcats and notched a win by a score of 17-14. Gunnar Watson went 12/22 with 240 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 152.1 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. DK Billingsley was the leader on the ground for the Trojans with 16 carries for 70 yds (4.4 yards per carry). In all, they had 62 plays which totaled 406 yds. The Troy Trojans ended up running the ball 34 different times and totaled 107 yds, which had them averaging 3.1 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Trojans gave up 86 yds on 28 tries, which averages out to 3.1 yds per run allowed. Troy gave up 21 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 207 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.6%.

The Trojans have racked up 2,796 total yards for the season. In terms of getting in the endzone, Troy has amassed 12 touchdowns through the air and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 times. Troy has accumulated 145 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 40 penalties for 353 yards. As a team they hold an average of 86.7 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 125th in the nation. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Troy Trojans hold an average of 24.3 points per contest.

The Trojans rank 25th in college football when it comes to team defense, allowing 19.3 points per game. They are allowing an average of 3.2 yards per rush and 111.3 rushing yards per contest for the season. Overall, they have allowed 779 rushing yards through 7 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Trojans have given up 1,608 yards which puts them in 82nd in the nation. They are giving up 229.7 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 60.1%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 341.0 yards/contest ranking them 32nd in Division 1. They have conceded 9 touchdowns by air and 8 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Jaguars step onto the field holding a record of 5-1 this season. In their last game, the Jaguars got the victory with a final of 41-34 against the UL Monroe Warhawks. Carter Bradley (3 touchdowns) finished the game with 420 yds on 25/33 passing while his quarterback rate was 212.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 12.7. Marco Lee carried the football 15 times for 93 yards, ending the contest with 6.2 yds per carry for South Alabama. South Alabama ran the ball for 4.8 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 195 yards on 41 carries. The Jaguars finished the game with 615 yards while running 74 plays (8.3 yds per play). The Jaguars passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 74.1%, surrendering 371 yards on 20 out of 27 through the air. South Alabama surrendered 31 running attempts for 67 yds (2.2 yds per rush).

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Jaguars are ranking 29th in Division 1 averaging 36.0 points per outing. During this campaign to this point, the Jaguars have thrown for a total of 1,785 yards through the air together with holding an average of 297.5 passing yards per game, putting them at 24th in Division 1. The South Alabama Jaguars average 462.3 yards/game, which has them sitting 29th in the country. The South Alabama offense has accrued 463 penalty yards on 50 violations, which is good for 16th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards.

South Alabama has conceded a total of 571 yards via the ground game (95.2 yards per game) in addition to 3 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have allowed 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 228.8 yards/outing, which has them ranked 66th in D-1. The Jaguars defense has taken the field for 383 plays, ranking them 17th in Division 1. The Jaguars are surrendering 21.3 points per game, which has them ranked 31st in college football. Overall, they have given up 128 points.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Jaguars college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Trojans +4

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