Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 11/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, November 26, 2022

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wolves (+13)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-8) will take on the Troy Trojans (9-2) at Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday. Arkansas State opens as 13-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 48.

The Troy Trojans step onto the field holding a record of 9-2 for this season. In their last game, the Trojans faced off with the UL Monroe Warhawks and notched a win by a score of 34-16. Gunnar Watson connected on 10/17 with 78 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 97.4 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Kimani Vidal was the rushing leader for the Trojans with 29 totes for 242 yds (8.3 yards per carry). The Troy Trojans ended up rushing 43 different times and totaled 274 yards, which is an average of 6.4 yards per tote. In all, they tallied 60 plays which gave them a total of 352 yards. Troy relinquished 17 completions on 29 attempts for a total of 145 yds, and a completion rate of 58.6%. Against the run, the Trojans gave up 83 yards on 33 tries, which averages out to 2.5 yds per rush surrendered.

Regarding scoring points, the Troy Trojans have an average of 22.5 PPG. As a team they average 111.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 114th in D-1. The Trojans have tallied 4,055 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Troy has amassed 15 touchdowns through the air and 12 rushing touchdowns. Troy has accumulated 218 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 65 infractions for 589 yards. They have turned the ball over 17 different times.

In terms of passing yardage, the Trojans have conceded 2,158 yards which has them ranked 30th in the country. They have allowed 196.2 yards per game through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 59.5%. During the season, they are granting 321.6 yards/contest ranking them 20th in college football. They have given up 9 touchdowns through the air in addition to 13 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for 3.4 yards per rushing attempt and 125.5 rushing yards per contest so far this season. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,381 running yards through 11 games. The Trojans are ranked 9th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 16.6 PPG.

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The Red Wolves come into this matchup with a record of 3-8 this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Red Wolves took a loss by a final score of 16-13 against the Texas State Bobcats. James Blackman (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 237 yds on 22/40 passing while his QB rating was 113. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 5.9. Johnnie Lang ran the football 13 times for 36 yards, finishing the contest with 2.8 yds per carry for Arkansas State. Arkansas State ran the ball for 2.3 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 54 yds on 23 attempts. The Red Wolves finished the game with 291 yds and they ran 63 plays (4.6 yards per play). The Red Wolves secondary gave up a completion rate of 62.2%, relinquishing 196 yds on 23 out of 37 passing. Arkansas State conceded 38 rushing attempts for 144 yds (3.8 yds per rush).

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have an average of 319.8 yards per outing, which is good for 116th in college football. The Arkansas State offense has racked up 617 penalty yds on 64 infractions, which ranks 76th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. During the season thus far, the Red Wolves have compiled 2,498 passing yards along with an average of 227.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 72nd in the country. In terms of putting points on the board, the Red Wolves currently sit 82nd in the country by tallying 25.5 points per game.

Arkansas State has surrendered a total of 1,681 yards on the ground (152.8 yards per outing) in addition to 18 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have allowed the opposition 24 touchdowns from the passing game and 251.6 yards per outing, which has them in 102nd in Division 1. The Red Wolves defense has participated in 769 plays, which is 87th in D-1. The Red Wolves are allowing 29.9 points per game, which has them 101st in Division 1. This year, they have surrendered 329 pts.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Wolves +13

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