TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 9/24/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, September 24, 2022

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 69.5

The TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) are en route to Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the SMU Mustangs (2-1). SMU is 1.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 69.5.

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Horned Frogs played the Tarleton State Texans and went home with a win by a final score of 59-17. Max Duggan finished 23/29 with 390 yds passing and 5 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 249.2 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. Kendre Miller was the leader on the ground for the Horned Frogs with 13 carries for 56 yds (4.3 yds per attempt). The TCU Horned Frogs rushed the ball a total of 37 different times and recorded 180 yards, which is an average of 4.9 yds per carry. When the final whistle blew, they ran 71 plays which converted into 630 yds. TCU relinquished 11 completions on 26 tries for a total of 210 yds, and a completion percentage of 42.3%. In the running game, the Horned Frogs gave up 85 yards on 28 attempts, which is 3.0 yds per run allowed.

In terms of putting points on the board, the TCU Horned Frogs have an average of 48.5 points per game. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 227.5 yards rushing which ranks them 19th in the country. The Horned Frogs have racked up 1,043 yards in total for this campaign. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, TCU has earned 5 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. TCU has a total of 45 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 10 penalties for 80 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 1 time.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Horned Frogs have conceded 445 yards which has them ranked 14th in the nation. They have conceded 222.5 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 55.2%. Over the course of this season, they are conceding 321.5 yards/outing which has them ranked 39th in college football. They have yielded 2 touchdowns by air as well as 1 touchdown pounding the rock. They are allowing 3.5 yards per rushing attempt and 99.0 yards on the ground per game for the year. Overall, they have allowed 198 running yards through 2 games. The Horned Frogs rank 31st in D-1 regarding team defense, giving up 15.0 points per game.

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The Mustangs come into this game with a record of 2-1 this season. In their last game, the Mustangs took a loss by a score of 34-27 when they played the Maryland Terrapins. Tanner Mordecai (3 TDs) ended the contest with 369 yds on 29/54 passing while his quarterback rate was 122. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per attempt was 6.8. Tre Siggers carried the ball 19 times for 86 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.5 yards per carry for SMU. The Mustangs finished the contest with a total of 520 yards while running 96 plays (5.4 yards per play). SMU ran the ball for 3.6 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 151 yds on 42 attempts. SMU relinquished 38 running attempts for 225 yards (5.9 yards per carry). The Mustangs pass defense gave up a completion rate of 73.9%, relinquishing 214 yards on 17 for 23 passing.

The SMU Mustangs are averaging 516.3 yards per contest, ranking them 12th in Division 1. The SMU offense has compiled 139 yards of penalties on 15 infractions, which ranks 101st in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. During the season to this point, the Mustangs have thrown for 1,040 passing yards as well as holding an average of 346.7 passing yards per contest, ranking them 10th in the country. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Mustangs currently sit 30th in the country scoring 40.0 PPG.

The Mustangs are giving up 20.0 PPG, ranking them 49th in college football. SMU has yielded a total of 531 yards on the ground (177.0 yards per game) in addition to 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. This year, they have allowed 60 total points. They have conceded 2 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 194.0 yards/outing, ranking them 41st in D-1. The Mustangs defense has taken the field for 218 plays, which ranks them 95th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs +1.5

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