TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 12/31/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Saturday, December 31, 2022

Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolverines (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

The TCU Horned Frogs (12-1) are en route to State Farm Stadium on Saturday, December 31, 2022 where they will meet the Michigan Wolverines (13-0) in the CFP Semifinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl. Michigan is 9.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 58.5.

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 12-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Horned Frogs went up against the Kansas State Wildcats and ended up losing by a score of 31-28. Max Duggan led the offense in rushing for the Horned Frogs with 15 attempts for 110 yards (7.3 yds per carry). Max Duggan went 18/36 with 251 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 112.2 and ended the contest with 1 interception. On the ground, the Horned Frogs gave up 205 yds on 44 attempts, which is an average of 4.7 yds per rush allowed. TCU gave up 18 pass completions on 32 attempts for a total of 199 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.3%. At the end of the game, they ran 73 plays which converted into 469 yards. The TCU Horned Frogs ended up rushing 37 different times and totaled 218 yards, which is an average of 5.9 yds per attempt.

The Horned Frogs have tallied 6,149 total yards for the year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, TCU has compiled 31 touchdowns through the air and 33 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 different times. TCU has amassed 289 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 60 infractions for 608 yards. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 200.0 yards on the ground ranking this team at 25th in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the TCU Horned Frogs hold an average of 40.3 points per game.

When talking about yards through the air, the Horned Frogs have conceded 3,069 yds which has them sitting in 100th in D-1. They have relinquished 236.1 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 53.9%. During this campaign, they are surrendering 385.1 yards/outing which ranks them 74th in the country. They have granted 20 touchdowns through the air in addition to 21 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 4.1 yards per tote and 149.0 yards on the ground per contest so far this season. During the season, they have conceded 1,937 rushing yards through 13 games. The Horned Frogs are ranked 57th in the country regarding team defense, giving up 25.0 points per contest.

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The Wolverines head into this matchup 13-0 for this season. In their last game, the Wolverines went home victorious with a score of 43-22 against the Purdue Boilermakers. J.J. McCarthy (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 161 yds on 11/17 passing while his QB rate was 190.7. He had 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 9.5. Donovan Edwards carried the ball 25 times for 185 yds, walking away from the contest with 7.4 yds per attempt for Michigan. The Wolverines finished the contest with 386 yds on 55 plays (7.0 yds per play). Michigan ran for 5.9 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 225 yds on 38 attempts. Michigan allowed 37 rush attempts for 90 yds (2.4 yards per carry). The Wolverines secondary gave up a completion percentage of 68.1%, relinquishing 366 yds on 32 out of 47 through the air.

Concerning how much they score, the Wolverines sit 7th in the nation with 40.1 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Wolverines currently sit at 2,737 passing yards as well as holding an average of 210.5 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 93rd in the country. The Michigan Wolverines maintain an average of 453.5 yards per contest, which is good for 27th in the country. The Michigan offense has totaled 420 yards of penalties on 53 infractions, ranking them 120th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Wolverines are giving up 13.4 points per game, ranking them 5th in D-1. Michigan has surrendered a total of 1,108 yards rushing (85.2 yards/game) as well as 7 touchdowns via the rush on the year. This year, they have surrendered 174 points in total. They have given up 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 191.8 yards per contest, which has them sitting 22nd in D-1. The Wolverines defense has taken the field for 809 plays, which is 45th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Wolverines college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs +9.5

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