SMU Mustangs vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 9/3/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Saturday, September 3, 2022

Location: Apogee Stadium in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mean Green (+7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 74.5

The North Texas Mean Green (6-7 last year) will try to beat the SMU Mustangs (8-4 last season) at Apogee Stadium on Saturday. SMU opens this game as 7.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 74.5.

The SMU Mustangs finished the season holding a 8-4 record. In their last game, the Mustangs faced the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and ended up losing by a score of 34-31. Tanner Mordecai finished 26/46 with 298 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 109.4 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Tyler Lavine was the rushing leader for the Mustangs with 8 carries for 51 yards (6.4 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they tallied 83 plays which gave them a total of 405 yards. The SMU Mustangs ended up rushing 36 times and compiled 107 yds, which earned them an average of 3.0 yards per tote. On the ground, the Mustangs conceded 130 yds on 36 tries, which is 3.6 yards per rush surrendered. SMU gave up 18 completions on 33 attempts for a total of 244 yds, and a completion percentage of 54.5%.

When it comes to scoring, the SMU Mustangs had an average of 38.4 points per outing. As a team they had an average of 162.4 yards rushing, which had them sitting 63rd in the country. The Mustangs earned 5,603 total yards for last season. SMU earned 40 passing touchdowns and 20 touchdowns on the ground. SMU had 298 1st downs as a team, and they committed 67 penalties for 628 yards. They turned the football over 18 different times.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Mustangs gave up 3,337 yds which had them sitting in 112th in Division 1. Over the course of their 12 games played last year, they gave up 278.1 yards per game via the pass as well as surrendering a completion percentage of 58.9%. They granted 414.6 yards/game which ranked them 92nd in college football. They allowed 28 throwing touchdowns in addition to 16 rushing touchdowns. They allowed teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per tote and 136.5 rushing yards per game last season. During the season, they allowed 1,638 running yards through 12 games. The Mustangs ranked 87th in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 28.4 points per contest.

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The Mean Green ended the season having earned a 6-7 record. The last time they took the field, the Mean Green took a loss by a final score of 27-14 against the Miami RedHawks. Austin Aune ended the game with 228 yards on 15/32 through the air while his quarterback rating was 94.2. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.1. Austin Aune ran the football 9 times for 28 yds, finishing the game with 3.1 yds per attempt for North Texas. The Mean Green finished the game with a total of 317 yds while running 64 plays (5.0 yds per play). North Texas rushed the ball for 2.8 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 89 yds on 32 carries. North Texas surrendered 47 running attempts for 203 yards (4.3 yds per carry). The Mean Green pass defense conceded a completion rate of 71.0%, relinquishing 228 yds on 22 out of 31 through the air.

The North Texas Mean Green averaged 431.0 yards per outing, ranking them 42nd in college football. The North Texas offense had 891 yards of penalties on 94 violations, which ranked them 23rd in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. Last year, the Mean Green earned 2,562 passing yards along with an average of 197.1 passing yards per contest, which was ranked 97th in the country. When looking at putting points on the board, the Mean Green had a ranking of 76th in college football with a maintained average of 27.5 PPG.

The Mean Green surrendered 27.5 points per game, which had them sitting 78th in the nation. North Texas conceded a total of 2,036 yards rushing (156.6 yards per contest) in addition to 18 touchdowns rushing last year. Last year, they gave up 358 points in total. They conceded 25 touchdowns through the air as well as 225.6 yards/game, which put them in 65th in college football. The Mean Green defense participated in 872 plays, which ranked them 79th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Mean Green college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mean Green +7.5

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