San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 10/22/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, October 22, 2022

Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolf Pack (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 37.5

The Nevada Wolf Pack (2-5) welcome the San Diego State Aztecs (3-3) at Mackay Stadium on Saturday. Nevada is 9-point dogs. The betting total is set at 37.5.

The San Diego State Aztecs step onto the field holding a record of 3-3 for this season. In their last game, the Aztecs played the Hawaii Warriors and went home with a win by a final score of 16-14. Jalen Mayden connected on 24/36 with 322 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 151 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. Chance Bell was the leader on the ground for the Aztecs with 7 attempts for 53 yds (7.6 yds per attempt). The San Diego State Aztecs rushed the ball a total of 35 different times and recorded 95 yds, which had them averaging 2.7 yards per attempt. Overall, they ran 71 plays which totaled 417 yards. San Diego State allowed 20 pass completions on 34 tries for 196 yards, and a completion rate of 58.8%. In the running game, the Aztecs conceded 146 yards on 24 tries, which is 6.1 yards per run allowed.

The Aztecs have racked up 1,708 yards in total for this campaign. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, San Diego State has earned 4 passing touchdowns and 5 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 8 times. San Diego State has tallied 84 1st downs, and they have committed 48 infractions for 357 yards. Offensively they're holding an average of 176.3 yards via the ground game ranking them 46th in Division 1. In terms of scoring, the San Diego State Aztecs hold an average of 18.5 points per contest.

The Aztecs are sitting in 49th in the nation concerning team defense, conceding 23.8 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.7 yards per run and 166.7 rushing yards per game this year. Overall, they have allowed 1,000 yards via the ground game in 6 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Aztecs have given up 1,365 yards which puts them in 47th in D-1. They are conceding 227.5 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.7%. For the season, they are giving up 394.2 yards per game ranking them 86th in college football. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air in addition to 9 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Wolf Pack head into this matchup 2-5 for this season. When they last played, the Wolf Pack went home defeated by a final of 31-16 when they played the Hawaii Warriors. Nate Cox finished the game with 188 yards on 22/37 passing while his quarterback rating was 102.1. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 5.1. Nate Cox carried the football 6 times for 44 yards, ending the contest with 7.3 yds per carry for Nevada. Nevada ran the ball for 2.9 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 81 yards on 28 attempts. The Wolf Pack finished the game with a total of 269 yds while running 66 plays (4.1 yards per play). The Wolf Pack pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 52.0%, relinquishing 173 yards on 13 for 25 through the air. Nevada conceded 46 rush attempts for 223 yds (4.8 yards per rush).

When looking at putting points on the board, the Wolf Pack currently sit 110th in college football by tallying 21.7 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Wolf Pack have thrown for a total of 1,168 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 166.9 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 118th in the nation. The Nevada Wolf Pack average 289.9 yards/contest, ranking them 123rd in Division 1. The Nevada offense has compiled 359 yds of penalties on 38 infractions, ranking them 85th in the nation in terms of making mistakes.

The Wolf Pack are relinquishing 29.1 points per game, which has them ranked 86th in Division 1. Nevada has surrendered a total of 1,290 yards on the ground (184.3 yards/game) as well as 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. This season, they have given up 204 points. They have allowed 10 touchdowns via the pass as well as 207.4 yards per game, ranking them 35th in the nation. The Wolf Pack defense has participated in 470 plays, which ranks 85th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Wolf Pack college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wolf Pack +9

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