San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/29/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 29, 2022

Location: Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-8)

Total/Over-Under: 40

Bulldog Stadium is where the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-4) will meet the San Diego State Aztecs (4-3) on Saturday. San Diego State opens as 8-point dogs. The over/under is 40.

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this matchup with a record of 4-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Aztecs faced off with the Nevada Wolf Pack and earned the victory with a final of 23-7. Jalen Mayden went 12/25 with 156 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 100.4 and walked away from the game without throwing a pick. Chance Bell was the best rusher for the Aztecs with 12 attempts for 55 yards (4.6 yards per carry). Overall, they ran 64 plays for 317 yds. The San Diego State Aztecs ran the rock 39 times and recorded 161 yds, which came out to an average of 4.1 yards per tote. Against the run, the Aztecs conceded 35 yards on 21 tries, which is 1.7 yds per run allowed. San Diego State surrendered 23 pass completions on 41 tries for 192 yds, and a completion percentage of 56.1%.

The Aztecs have racked up 2,025 yards in total this year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, San Diego State has compiled 4 touchdowns via the pass and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 9 times. San Diego State has a total of 100 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 59 infractions for 448 yards. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 174.1 yards in the run game which has them sitting 50th in Division 1. When talking about putting points on the board, the San Diego State Aztecs have an average of 19.1 points per game.

When talking about yards through the air, the Aztecs are conceding 1,557 yards which has them ranked 47th in the nation. They have surrendered 222.4 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.0%. Overall, they have surrendered 370.3 yards per contest ranking them 60th in the nation. They have relinquished 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 9 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush on the ground and 147.9 rushing yards per contest this year. During the season, they have conceded 1,035 running yards through 7 games. The Aztecs are sitting in 33rd in the country concerning team defense, conceding 21.4 PPG.

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The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 3-4 for this season. For their last game, the Bulldogs went home victorious with a score of 41-9 when they faced the New Mexico Lobos. Jordan Mims ran the ball 26 times for 165 yards, walking away from the game with 6.3 yards per carry for Fresno State. Logan Fife (1 TD) finished the contest with 225 yds on 19/29 through the air while his QB rate was 135.2. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.8. Fresno State allowed 27 rushing attempts for 87 yds (3.2 yds per rush). The Bulldogs passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 52.9%, surrendering 51 yards on 9 for 17 through the air. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 510 yds on 79 plays (6.5 yards per play). Fresno State rushed the ball for 5.7 yards per attempt, totaling 285 yds on 50 carries.

When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Bulldogs are ranked 91st in college football holding an average of 25.1 points per game. During the season thus far, the Bulldogs have compiled 1,744 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 249.1 passing yards per contest, which ranks 60th in college football. The Fresno State Bulldogs have an average of 389.4 yards per contest, ranking them 73rd in college football. The Fresno State offense has totaled 274 penalty yds on 31 infractions, which has them sitting 123rd in the country in terms of giving up free yards.

The Bulldogs are relinquishing 23.6 points per contest, ranking them 52nd in D-1. Fresno State has given up a total of 1,135 yards on the ground (162.1 yards per game) as well as 11 touchdowns on the ground on the season. This season, they have given up 165 total points. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air and 189.1 yards per contest, which has them in 21st in Division 1. The Bulldogs defense has participated in 461 plays, which ranks 33rd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -8

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