Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 10/8/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, October 8, 2022

Location: Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (+18.5)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The Ole Miss Rebels (5-0) are hitting the road to Vanderbilt Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2). Ole Miss opens this contest as 18.5-point favorites. The over/under is 59.

The Ole Miss Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 5-0 this season. In their last game, the Rebels played the Kentucky Wildcats and took home the win by a score of 22-19. Quinshon Judkins was the rushing leader for the Rebels with 15 carries for 106 yds (7.1 yds per attempt). Jaxson Dart connected on 15/29 with 213 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 106.5 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Against the rush, the Rebels gave up 108 yards on 37 attempts, which is an average of 2.9 yds per rush allowed. Ole Miss surrendered 18 completions on 24 tries for 220 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. In all, they tallied 68 plays which converted into 399 yards. The Ole Miss Rebels ran the football 39 different times and accrued 186 yds, which had them averaging 4.8 yards per attempt.

In terms of scoring, the Ole Miss Rebels have an average of 37.2 points per game. As a team they're averaging 261.8 yards rushing giving them a rank of 5th in the nation. The Rebels have earned 2,351 total yards this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Ole Miss has earned 7 touchdowns via the pass and 17 touchdowns via the ground. Ole Miss has a total of 127 first downs offensively, and they have committed 27 penalties for 242 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times.

The Rebels rank 7th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 11.8 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 3.1 yards per run and 117.0 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have allowed 585 yards via the ground game in 5 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Rebels have given up 993 yards which has them ranked 42nd in the country. They have conceded 198.6 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 59.8%. During the season, they are allowing 315.6 yards/outing ranking them 28th in D-1. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 2 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Commodores step onto the field holding a record of 3-2 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Commodores walked away with a loss by a score of 55-3 against the Alabama Crimson Tide. AJ Swann finished the game with 115 yards on 13/26 through the air while his QB rating was 87.2. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.4. Patrick Smith carried the rock 5 times for 11 yards, walking away from the game with 2.2 yards per attempt for Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt ended up running for 0.5 yds per attempt, finishing with 14 yds on 26 carries. The Commodores finished the contest with 129 yards while running 52 plays (2.5 yds per play). The Commodores secondary gave up a completion rate of 69.8%, surrendering 400 yds on 30 for 43 passing. Vanderbilt allowed 34 run attempts for 228 yards (6.7 yards per rush).

The Vanderbilt Commodores average 375.2 yards/game, which is good for 89th in D-1. The Vanderbilt offense has totaled 223 yards of penalties on 26 violations, ranking them 102nd in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. For the year thus far, the Commodores currently have a total of 993 yards via the pass as well as an average of 198.6 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 108th in college football. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Commodores currently rank 50th in college football maintaining an average of 34.2 points per outing.

The Commodores are giving up 33.8 PPG, ranking them 114th in D-1. Vanderbilt has conceded a total of 790 yards via the ground game (158.0 yards/game) in addition to 8 touchdowns rushing this season. This year, they have allowed 169 total points. They have yielded 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 299.2 yards per outing, ranking them 127th in D-1. The Commodores defense has been on the field for 358 plays, which is good for 100th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rebels -18.5

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