North Texas Mean Green vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 10/29/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, October 29, 2022

Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 70

The North Texas Mean Green (4-4) are headed to Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium on Saturday where they will go up against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-3). Western Kentucky opens this matchup as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 70.

The North Texas Mean Green step onto the field holding a record of 4-4 for this season. In their last game, the Mean Green faced the UTSA Roadrunners and took a loss by a score of 31-27. Austin Aune finished 15/31 with 325 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 161.9 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Oscar Adaway III was the rushing leader for the Mean Green with 10 carries for 20 yards (2.0 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they had 52 plays for 347 yds. The North Texas Mean Green rushed the ball a total of 21 times and accumulated 22 yds, earning them an average of 1.0 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Mean Green gave up 257 yds on 54 tries, which is an average of 4.8 yds per rush allowed. North Texas allowed 27 pass completions on 40 tries for 238 yds, and a completion rate of 67.5%.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the North Texas Mean Green are sitting at 35.0 PPG. As a team they're averaging 222.6 yards rushing which is 13th in the country. The Mean Green have earned 3,874 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, North Texas has totaled 20 touchdowns through the air and 13 rushing touchdowns. North Texas has 183 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 48 infractions for 417 yards. They have surrendered the ball 14 different times.

The Mean Green are sitting in 122nd in the country concerning team defense, conceding 34.5 PPG. They are giving up an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 188.3 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,506 yards via the ground game in 8 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Mean Green are giving up 2,267 yds which puts them in 126th in the country. They have given up 283.4 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 62.5%. During the season, they have surrendered 471.6 yards per contest ranking them 123rd in Division 1. They have granted 16 touchdowns by air and 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 5-3 this season. In their last game, the Hilltoppers went home victorious with a score of 20-17 when they played the UAB Blazers. L.T. Sanders carried the ball 16 times for 120 yards, finishing the contest with 7.5 yds per carry for Western Kentucky. Austin Reed ended the contest with 128 yards on 14/23 through the air while his quarterback rate was 107.6. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 5.6. Western Kentucky surrendered 39 attempts on the ground for 228 yards (5.8 yds per carry). The Hilltoppers secondary conceded a completion rate of 41.7%, relinquishing 96 yds on 5 out of 12 through the air. The Hilltoppers finished the game with 352 yds and they ran 67 plays (5.3 yards per play). Western Kentucky ran for 5.1 yards per tote, finishing the game with 224 yds on 44 attempts.

In terms of their ability to score points, the Hilltoppers currently sit 18th in Division 1 by tallying 37.5 PPG. During this campaign so far, the Hilltoppers have earned 2,541 passing yards as well as an average of 317.6 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 11th in the nation. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers average 472.0 yards per contest, ranking them 22nd in Division 1. The Western Kentucky offense has accrued 553 yds of penalties on 60 violations, which is 11th in college football in terms of giving up free yards.

Western Kentucky has allowed a total of 1,071 yards via the ground game (133.9 yards per contest) and 9 touchdowns rushing so far this year. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air in addition to 224.1 yards/outing, ranking them 64th in the nation. The Hilltoppers defense has been on the field for 591 plays, which ranks 124th in the country. The Hilltoppers are allowing 22.0 PPG, which has them sitting 38th in Division 1. This year, they have surrendered 176 points.

Who will win tonight's Mean Green/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mean Green +9.5

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