North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 11/5/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, November 5, 2022

Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, VA

TV: ACCN

Odds/Point Spread: Cavaliers (+10)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The Virginia Cavaliers (3-5) will play the North Carolina Tar Heels (7-1) at Scott Stadium on Saturday. Virginia opens this contest as 10-point dogs. The total comes in at 59.

The North Carolina Tar Heels head into this matchup 7-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Tar Heels took on the Pittsburgh Panthers and went home with a win by a final score of 42-24. Jacolby Criswell went 0/1 with 0 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 0 and ended the game with no interceptions. Drake Maye led the offense in rushing for the Tar Heels with 14 carries for 61 yds (4.4 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 75 plays for 474 yds. The North Carolina Tar Heels ended up running the ball 30 different times and tallied 86 yards, which earned them an average of 2.9 yards per tote. When it came to stopping the run, the Tar Heels conceded 131 yards on 30 tries, which calculates to 4.4 yards per rush allowed. North Carolina surrendered 14 pass completions on 31 tries for a total of 236 yards, and a completion rate of 45.2%.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the North Carolina Tar Heels have an average of 41.8 points per contest. As a unit they are averaging 167.6 yards rushing which is 56th in the country. The Tar Heels have earned 4,016 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring, North Carolina has earned 29 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns on the ground. North Carolina has tallied 202 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 56 penalties for 488 yards. They have turned the football over 9 times.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Tar Heels are giving up 2,266 yards which ranks them 118th in Division 1. They have given up 283.3 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 65.7%. In total, they are giving up 462.6 yards/outing putting them at 122nd in Division 1. They have relinquished 18 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.7 yards per rush and 179.4 yards on the ground per game for the season. For the year, they have allowed 1,435 yards on the ground through 8 outings. The Tar Heels rank 110th in Division 1 in terms of team defense, conceding 31.4 PPG.

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The Cavaliers step onto the field holding a record of 3-5 this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Cavaliers took a loss by a score of 14-12 when they faced the Miami Hurricanes. Brennan Armstrong finished the contest with 208 yards on 15/25 through the air while his QB rating was 129.9. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 8.3. Brennan Armstrong ran the ball 20 times for 67 yds, ending the game with 3.4 yards per carry for Virginia. The Cavaliers finished the game with 327 yards and they ran 59 plays (5.5 yds per play). Virginia ran for 3.6 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 119 yards on 33 attempts. Virginia surrendered 38 rush attempts for 147 yds (3.9 yards per rush). The Cavaliers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 46.9%, surrendering 125 yds on 15 for 32 passing.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Cavaliers are ranking 123rd in the country averaging 16.9 points per outing. Over the course of the season to this point, the Cavaliers have a total of 1,826 passing yards as well as holding an average of 228.3 passing yards per game, which is ranked 78th in college football. The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 359.9 yards/game, which ranks them 94th in Division 1. The Virginia offense has compiled 570 yds of penalties on 61 violations, which is good for 21st in the nation in terms of giving up free yards.

Virginia has conceded a total of 1,181 rushing yards (147.6 yards per game) as well as 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. They have given up 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 192.9 yards per outing, ranking them 25th in Division 1. The Cavaliers defense has been on the field for 570 plays, which is 87th in Division 1. The Cavaliers are giving up 21.5 PPG, which has them ranked 33rd in the country. This season, they have conceded 172 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Cavaliers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tar Heels -10

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