North Carolina Tar Heels vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, 12/28/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Oregon Ducks

Date: Wednesday, December 28, 2022

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Ducks (-9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 70.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels (9-4) are on their way to Petco Park on Wednesday, December 28, 2022 where they will go up against the Oregon Ducks (9-3) in the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl. Oregon opens this matchup as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 70.5.

The North Carolina Tar Heels head into this matchup 9-4 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Tar Heels played the Clemson Tigers and took a loss by a final of 39-10. Elijah Green was the rushing leader for the Tar Heels with 21 attempts for 65 yds (3.1 yds per attempt). Drake Maye connected on 26/42 with 268 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 106 and walked away from the contest with 2 picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Tar Heels conceded 68 yards on 21 tries, which is 3.2 yds per run allowed. North Carolina conceded 28 pass completions on 35 attempts for a total of 317 yds, and a completion rate of 80.0%. Overall, they ran 79 plays for 386 yds. The North Carolina Tar Heels rushed the ball a total of 36 different times and compiled 113 yards, which had them averaging 3.1 yds per attempt.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 35.0 points per outing. As a unit they are averaging 156.4 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 63rd in college football. The Tar Heels have tallied 6,157 total yards this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, North Carolina has totaled 35 touchdowns through the air and 23 touchdowns via the ground. North Carolina has 326 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 81 penalties for 719 yds. They have turned the football over 14 times.

When talking about passing yards, the Tar Heels have given up 3,593 yards which has them ranked 130th in D-1. They have conceded 276.4 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 64.9%. Over the course of this season, they have surrendered 438.2 yards per contest which ranks them 115th in Division 1. They have yielded 25 touchdowns via the pass and 27 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 4.4 yards per rush and 161.8 yards on the ground per game for the campaign. In total, they have allowed 2,103 yards on the ground through 13 outings. The Tar Heels rank 105th in college football when it comes to team defense, giving up 31.0 PPG.

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The Ducks come into this matchup with a record of 9-3 for this season. In their last game, the Ducks walked away with a loss by a score of 38-34 when they faced the Oregon State Beavers. Bo Nix (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 327 yds on 27/41 through the air while his quarterback rating was 148.9. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0. Noah Whittington carried the football 16 times for 81 yds, finishing the game with 5.1 yds per attempt for Oregon. Oregon rushed the football for 3.4 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 143 yards on 42 carries. The Ducks finished with 470 yds and they ran 83 plays (5.7 yards per play). The Ducks pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 46.2%, relinquishing 60 yds on 6 out of 13 through the air. Oregon surrendered 43 run attempts for 268 yards (6.2 yds per carry).

The Oregon Ducks are averaging 508.2 yards per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the country. The Oregon offense has totaled 706 yds of penalties on 83 infractions, which has them ranked 29th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. For the year thus far, the Ducks have thrown for 3,497 yards through the air along with an average of 291.4 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 15th in the nation. When discussing how much they score, the Ducks are sitting 9th in the nation with an average of 39.7 points per contest.

The Ducks are allowing 27.4 points per game, which has them sitting 77th in the country. Oregon has conceded a total of 1,506 yards rushing (125.5 yards per outing) and 17 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. This season, they have relinquished 329 points in total. They have conceded 22 touchdowns through the air and 260.6 yards/game, which has them sitting 106th in the nation. The Ducks defense has participated in 786 plays, which is good for 34th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Ducks college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tar Heels +9.5

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