North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 10/15/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, October 15, 2022

Location: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, NC

TV: ACCN

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Devils (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 66

The North Carolina Tar Heels (5-1) are hitting the road to Wallace Wade Stadium on Saturday where they will go up against the Duke Blue Devils (4-2). Duke is 6.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 66.

The North Carolina Tar Heels step onto the field holding a record of 5-1 this year. The last time they took the field, the Tar Heels went up against the Miami Hurricanes and notched a win by a score of 27-24. Caleb Hood was the best rusher for the Tar Heels with 13 carries for 74 yds (5.7 yards per attempt). Drake Maye went 19/28 with 309 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 169.8 and finished the game with 2 picks. Against the run, the Tar Heels conceded 42 yds on 24 attempts, which is an average of 1.8 yds per rush allowed. North Carolina gave up 42 completions on 57 attempts for 496 yds, and a completion rate of 73.7%. Overall, they ran 71 plays for 470 yards. The North Carolina Tar Heels ended up running the ball 43 different times and had 161 yds, earning them an average of 3.7 yards per tote.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 42.3 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 183.2 yards on the ground which has them sitting 43rd in college football. The Tar Heels have earned 3,006 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, North Carolina has earned 21 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns. North Carolina has compiled 146 first downs, and they have committed 42 penalties for 375 yds. They have surrendered the ball 7 different times.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Tar Heels have conceded 1,785 yds which has them ranked 126th in D-1. They are conceding 297.5 yards per contest via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 68.8%. Over the course of this season, they are giving up 465.3 yards/game which puts them 123rd in the nation. They have surrendered 17 touchdowns through the air in addition to 8 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 4.3 yards per rush and 167.8 yards on the ground per contest on the season. In total, they have conceded 1,007 yards via the running game in 6 games. The Tar Heels are sitting in 107th in D-1 concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 32.0 PPG.

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The Blue Devils head into this game 4-2 this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Blue Devils walked away with a loss by a score of 23-20 against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Riley Leonard (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 136 yds on 20/42 through the air while his QB rate was 77.9. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 3.2. Jaquez Moore ran the football 12 times for 59 yards, ending the contest with 4.9 yards per carry for Duke. Duke ran the ball for 4.3 yds per attempt, totaling 142 yds on 33 carries. The Blue Devils finished the contest with a total of 278 yards while they ran 75 plays (3.7 yds per play). The Blue Devils pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 232 yds on 24 for 36 passing. Duke relinquished 37 run attempts for 180 yds (4.9 yards per carry).

The Duke Blue Devils have an average of 416.5 yards/outing, which has them sitting 60th in D-1. The Duke offense has 342 penalty yards on 35 infractions, which has them ranked 77th in the country in terms of hurting your team. For the year thus far, the Blue Devils have compiled 1,355 passing yards along with an average of 225.8 throwing yards per contest, which is ranked 87th in the nation. When discussing how much they score, the Blue Devils currently sit 48th in D-1 with 32.5 points per outing.

The Blue Devils are surrendering 19.7 PPG, which has them 33rd in D-1. Duke has allowed a total of 844 rushing yards (140.7 yards/game) in addition to 4 touchdowns on the ground on the year. Overall, they have allowed 118 total points. They have given up 10 touchdowns from the passing game and 240.7 yards per outing, which puts them in 85th in Division 1. The Blue Devils defense has been on the field for 412 plays, which has them ranked 80th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Blue Devils college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tar Heels -6.5

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