New Mexico State Aggies vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 10/29/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, October 29, 2022

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN3

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 38

The UMass Minutemen (1-6) are hosting the New Mexico State Aggies (2-5) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Saturday. New Mexico State opens as 3-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 38.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 2-5 for this season. In their last matchup, the Aggies faced the New Mexico Lobos and earned the victory with a final of 21-9. Gavin Frakes connected on 10/17 with 119 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 156.4 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Star Thomas led the offense in rushing for the Aggies with 13 totes for 54 yds (4.2 yds per carry). In all, they had 48 plays which gave them 225 yds. The New Mexico State Aggies rushed the ball a total of 31 different times and totaled 106 yds, which had them averaging 3.4 yards per tote. On the ground, the Aggies conceded 109 yards on 42 attempts, which is 2.6 yards per run allowed. New Mexico State gave up 19 pass completions on 30 tries for 160 yds, and a completion rate of 63.3%.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 15.0 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 139.0 yards in the run game ranking them 81st in the country. The Aggies have racked up 1,818 yards in total over the course of this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico State has compiled 4 touchdowns via the pass and 10 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State has a total of 96 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 48 infractions for 434 yds. They have turned the ball over 13 different times.

Concerning yards through the air, the Aggies are conceding 1,357 yards which has them ranked 25th in the nation. They are conceding 193.9 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.9%. In total, they have given up 374.6 yards per outing ranking them 67th in college football. They have relinquished 8 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 180.7 yards on the ground per game for the year. During this campaign, they have given up 1,265 yards on the ground through 7 contests. The Aggies are ranked 87th in college football concerning team defense, allowing 29.0 points per game.

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The Minutemen head into this game 1-6 for this season. For their last game, the Minutemen took a loss by a score of 34-7 when they played the Buffalo Bulls. Garrett Dzuro ended the contest with 99 yds on 7/14 through the air while his QB rating was 109.4. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 7.1. Kay'ron Adams carried the rock 11 times for 65 yds, ending the game with 5.9 yds per attempt for UMass. The Minutemen finished the contest with a total of 220 yds while they ran 60 plays (3.7 yards per play). UMass rushed for 2.7 yards per carry, finishing with 112 yards on 41 attempts. UMass surrendered 38 rushing attempts for 203 yards (5.3 yds per carry). The Minutemen secondary gave up a completion percentage of 64.5%, relinquishing 277 yards on 20 out of 31 passing.

When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Minutemen are ranked 131st in Division 1 holding an average of 12.0 points per game. Over the course of the season to this point, the Minutemen have thrown for a total of 533 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 76.1 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 131st in the country. The UMass Minutemen average 243.0 yards per contest, which is good for 130th in D-1. The UMass offense has 516 penalty yards on 60 infractions, which is good for 10th in the country in terms of giving up free yards.

The Minutemen are allowing 32.0 points per game, which has them ranked 111th in the nation. UMass has given up a total of 1,278 rushing yards (182.6 yards per contest) and 17 touchdowns via the rush for the season. This season, they have relinquished 224 total points. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass and 202.9 yards per outing, ranking them 36th in D-1. The Minutemen defense has been on the field for 456 plays, which has them ranked 30th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Minutemen +3

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