New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 11/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, November 26, 2022

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-24.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Liberty Flames (8-3) will try to defeat the New Mexico State Aggies (4-6) at Williams Stadium on Saturday. New Mexico State opens as 24.5-point underdogs. The total is 51.

The New Mexico State Aggies head into this matchup 4-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Aggies faced the Missouri Tigers and took a loss by a final of 45-14. Diego Pavia was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 9 attempts for 50 yds (5.6 yards per carry). Diego Pavia went 6/17 with 76 yards through the air. He had a QB rate of 61.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. Against the run, the Aggies conceded 182 yds on 37 tries, which is 4.9 yards per run allowed. New Mexico State surrendered 20 pass completions on 31 attempts for 261 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.5%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 61 plays which totaled 259 yds. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the ball a total of 40 times and accrued 144 yards, which had them averaging 3.6 yards per tote.

In terms of scoring, the New Mexico State Aggies have an average of 18.7 points per contest. Offensively they're averaging 141.5 yards on the ground which has them sitting 78th in college football. The Aggies have earned 2,844 yards in total for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico State has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 16 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico State has accrued 152 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 67 penalties for 593 yds. They have turned the football over 16 different times.

The Aggies sit in 82nd in Division 1 regarding team defense, conceding 27.5 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.3 yards per rush and 173.4 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have allowed 1,734 yards via the ground game in 10 games. When talking about passing yards, the Aggies are allowing 1,837 yds which has them sitting in 9th in college football. They have allowed 183.7 yards per contest via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 59.3%. In total, they have surrendered 357.1 yards per outing which puts them 44th in the nation. They have given up 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 20 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Flames step onto the field holding a record of 8-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Flames took a loss by a score of 23-22 against the Virginia Tech Hokies. Kaidon Salter walked away from the game with 119 yards on 12/18 through the air while his quarterback rating was 122.2. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6. Shedro Louis ran the ball 9 times for 64 yds, walking away from the contest with 7.1 yds per carry for Liberty. Liberty ended up running for 4.0 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 115 yds on 29 carries. The Flames finished the contest with 332 yds while they ran 63 plays (5.3 yds per play). The Flames secondary allowed a completion percentage of 70.0%, surrendering 148 yards on 14 for 20 through the air. Liberty relinquished 59 attempts on the ground for 176 yards (3.0 yds per rush).

The Liberty Flames are averaging 408.5 yards/game, which ranks them 54th in the nation. The Liberty offense has totaled 571 penalty yds on 67 infractions, which is good for 65th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. During the season thus far, the Flames have thrown for 2,459 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 223.5 throwing yards per game, which ranks 75th in D-1. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Flames are ranking 58th in the nation with an average of 29.5 PPG.

The Flames are allowing 22.7 points per game, which puts them 38th in the nation. Liberty has allowed a total of 1,515 yards rushing (137.7 yards/game) in addition to 15 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. This year, they have relinquished 250 points. They have given up 12 touchdowns via the pass and 200.1 yards per game, which has them sitting 31st in D-1. The Flames defense has been on the field for 758 plays, which ranks them 66th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Flames college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Flames -24.5

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