New Mexico State Aggies vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 12/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Monday, December 26, 2022

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

The Bowling Green Falcons (6-6) will take on the New Mexico State Aggies (6-6) at Ford Field on Monday, December 26, 2022 in the Quick Lane Bowl. Bowling Green opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The total is 52.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies head into this game 6-6 this year. The last time they took the field, the Aggies stepped onto the field against the Valparaiso Beacons and walked away with a win by a score of 65-3. Diego Pavia connected on 9/13 with 323 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rating of 379.5 and ended the game with no picks. Ahmonte Watkins was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 1 totes for 78 yards (78.0 yards per carry). In all, they had 52 plays which gave them 621 yds. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the ball 28 different times and recorded 232 yards, earning them an average of 8.3 yards per carry. Against the rush, the Aggies gave up 28 yds on 35 attempts, which averages out to 0.8 yds per rush surrendered. New Mexico State relinquished 21 pass completions on 43 tries for a total of 160 yds, and a completion percentage of 48.8%.

The Aggies have racked up 3,892 total yards this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, New Mexico State has amassed 16 touchdowns via the pass and 24 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 18 different times. New Mexico State has accumulated 196 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 77 infractions for 682 yards. As a unit they hold an average of 154.9 yards on the ground ranking them 66th in college football. In terms of putting points on the board, the New Mexico State Aggies have an average of 25.6 PPG.

In terms of yards through the air, the Aggies have conceded 2,204 yards which puts them in 14th in D-1. They have given up 183.7 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 58.6%. In total, they are giving up 339.5 yards/game which has them ranked 30th in the country. They have yielded 13 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 22 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yards per attempt on the ground and 155.8 rushing yards per contest for the year. In total, they have allowed 1,870 yards on the ground through 12 games. The Aggies sit in 52nd in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 24.3 points per contest.

Get all of our College Football Picks Today

The Falcons come into this game with a record of 6-6 this year. When they last played, the Falcons took a loss by a final score of 38-14 when they played the Ohio Bobcats. Matt McDonald (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 217 yds on 16/29 passing while his QB rate was 108.7. He tossed 3 picks and his Y/A was 7.5. Nick Mosley carried the rock 4 times for 29 yards, walking away from the game with 7.3 yards per attempt for Bowling Green. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 279 yds and they ran 53 plays (5.3 yds per play). Bowling Green rushed for 2.4 yards per attempt, finishing with 50 yds on 21 carries. Bowling Green conceded 54 running attempts for 188 yds (3.5 yds per rush). The Falcons secondary conceded a completion rate of 47.6%, surrendering 196 yds on 10 for 21 passing.

Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Falcons are ranking 97th in D-1 holding an average of 23.8 points per game. During the season thus far, the Falcons have compiled 2,842 yards through the air along with an average of 236.8 passing yards per outing, which ranks 59th in college football. The Bowling Green Falcons are averaging 336.3 yards/game, ranking them 106th in Division 1. The Bowling Green offense has racked up 870 penalty yds on 97 violations, ranking them 6th in the country in terms of hurting your team.

The Falcons are conceding 33.3 PPG, which puts them 116th in Division 1. Bowling Green has allowed a total of 1,956 rushing yards (163.0 yards per game) and 22 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. Overall, they have allowed 400 points in total. They have conceded 28 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 257.7 yards/contest, which has them in 102nd in the nation. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 868 plays, which is 104th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +1.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here