New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 11/5/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Saturday, November 5, 2022

Location: Maverik Stadium in Logan, UT

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-16)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The Utah State Aggies (3-5) will play the New Mexico Lobos (2-6) at Maverik Stadium on Saturday. New Mexico opens as 16-point dogs. The over/under is 43.

The New Mexico Lobos step onto the field holding a record of 2-6 for this year. In their last game, the Lobos took on the Fresno State Bulldogs and went home with a loss by a final score of 41-9. Justin Holaday was the rushing leader for the Lobos with 11 totes for 39 yds (3.5 yards per carry). Justin Holaday connected on 8/16 with 37 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 69.4 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Against the run, the Lobos gave up 285 yards on 50 tries, which is 5.7 yards per rush surrendered. New Mexico gave up 19 pass completions on 29 tries for a total of 225 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.5%. When all was said and done, they had 44 plays which converted into 138 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ran the football 27 different times and totaled 87 yds, which had them averaging 3.2 yards per tote.

The Lobos currently have 1,965 total yards for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New Mexico has compiled 3 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 10 different times. New Mexico has accounted for 117 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 55 infractions for 464 yds. As a team they average 131.3 yards in the run game which ranks them 91st in the country. In terms of getting in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos are averaging 16.8 points per game.

The Lobos are ranked 56th in D-1 in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 24.1 PPG. They are allowing 4.0 yards per tote and 135.9 yards on the ground per game for the season. For the year, they have allowed 1,087 running yards through 8 contests. In terms of yards via the pass, the Lobos have conceded 1,730 yards which has them sitting in 46th in Division 1. They have conceded 216.3 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 60.2%. For the year, they are giving up 352.1 yards/game putting them at 42nd in the nation. They have yielded 9 touchdowns by air as well as 12 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Aggies head into this matchup 3-5 this season. The last time they took the field, the Aggies took a loss by a final score of 28-14 against the Wyoming Cowboys. Calvin Tyler Jr. ran the football 15 times for 83 yards, ending the contest with 5.5 yards per attempt for Utah State. Bishop Davenport ended the game with 104 yds on 17/26 passing while his QB rate was 91.3. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 4.0. Utah State conceded 50 attempts on the ground for 330 yards (6.6 yards per carry). The Aggies secondary gave up a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 199 yards on 13 for 26 passing. The Aggies finished with 217 yards while running 62 plays (3.5 yards per play). Utah State ran for 3.1 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 113 yds on 36 carries.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Aggies currently rank 117th in the nation averaging 19.1 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Aggies have thrown for a total of 1,465 yards through the air as well as an average of 183.1 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 113th in D-1. The Utah State Aggies have an average of 349.1 yards/game, which is good for 102nd in D-1. The Utah State offense has racked up 600 yds of penalties on 66 violations, which is 13th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition.

Utah State has surrendered a total of 1,635 yards on the ground (204.4 yards per contest) and 13 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have conceded 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 194.5 yards/outing, which has them ranked 27th in the country. The Aggies defense has taken part in 564 plays, which is 78th in Division 1. The Aggies are conceding 31.3 points per game, which puts them 109th in college football. Overall, they have given up 250 points.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lobos +16

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