New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 11/25/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Friday, November 25, 2022

Location: Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Rams (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 35

Canvas Stadium is the location where the Colorado State Rams (2-9) will attempt to beat the New Mexico Lobos (2-9) on Friday. Colorado State opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is 35.

The New Mexico Lobos head into this game 2-9 for this season. In their last matchup, the Lobos faced the San Diego State Aztecs and went home with a loss by a final score of 34-10. CJ Montes connected on 15/23 with 112 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 97.4 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Nate Jones led the offense in rushing for the Lobos with 8 carries for 68 yds (8.5 yards per carry). The New Mexico Lobos ended up rushing 26 times and tallied 97 yards, which had them averaging 3.7 yds per attempt. In all, they ran 49 plays for 209 yards. New Mexico allowed 16 completions on 26 tries for a total of 282 yards, and a completion rate of 61.5%. On the ground, the Lobos conceded 177 yards on 38 tries, which averages out to 4.7 yards per rush surrendered.

The Lobos have earned 2,604 total yards over the course of this season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, New Mexico has totaled 3 touchdowns through the air and 12 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 13 different times. New Mexico has 151 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 69 infractions for 576 yds. As a team they average 127.9 yards in the run game which is 99th in Division 1. When talking about getting in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 14.3 points per outing.

In terms of yards through the air, the Lobos have allowed 2,203 yards which ranks them 35th in the nation. They have surrendered 200.3 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.6%. In total, they have allowed 365.4 yards/game which puts them 52nd in college football. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns via the pass and 19 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for 4.3 yards per running attempt and 165.1 rushing yards per game on the campaign. In total, they have given up 1,816 yards via the ground game in 11 contests. The Lobos are sitting in 67th in Division 1 regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 26.3 points per game.

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The Rams come into this matchup with a record of 2-9 this year. In their last game, the Rams took a defeat with a final score of 24-12 when they played the Air Force Falcons. Avery Morrow carried the football 8 times for 42 yards, finishing the contest with 5.3 yds per carry for Colorado State. Clay Millen (2 TDs) finished the game with 179 yds on 19/24 passing while his quarterback rating was 169.3. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his Y/A was 7.5. Colorado State surrendered 71 rush attempts for 359 yards (5.1 yds per rush). The Rams pass defense conceded a completion rate of 0.0%, relinquishing 0 yards on 0 for 2 passing. The Rams finished the game with a total of 244 yards while running 46 plays (5.3 yds per play). Colorado State rushed the football for 3.0 yards per attempt, totaling 65 yds on 22 attempts.

The Colorado State Rams are averaging 284.0 yards/contest, which has them ranked 128th in Division 1. The Colorado State offense has compiled 684 yds of penalties on 78 violations, which has them sitting 26th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. For the season to this point, the Rams have thrown for 2,131 yards through the air along with an average of 193.7 passing yards per outing, putting them at 109th in D-1. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Rams are sitting 131st in D-1 by tallying 12.8 points per outing.

Colorado State has surrendered a total of 1,892 yards rushing (172.0 yards per outing) in addition to 24 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have yielded 15 touchdowns through the air and 203.2 yards per outing, which has them sitting 36th in the country. The Rams defense has participated in 766 plays, which is good for 82nd in the nation. The Rams are giving up 29.4 points per game, which has them ranked 97th in college football. In total, they have allowed 323 total points.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Rams college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rams -6.5

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