New Mexico Lobos vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 11/12/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, November 12, 2022

Location: Falcon Stadium in Usaf Academy, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-24)

Total/Over-Under: 39

The Air Force Falcons (6-3) will try to defeat the New Mexico Lobos (2-7) at Falcon Stadium on Saturday. Air Force opens as 24-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 39.

The New Mexico Lobos head into this matchup 2-7 for this season. In their last matchup, the Lobos went up against the Utah State Aggies and went home with a loss by a final score of 27-10. Nate Jones was the leader on the ground for the Lobos with 21 totes for 146 yards (7.0 yards per attempt). Justin Holaday connected on 7/18 with 42 yds through the air. He had a QB rating of 58.5 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Lobos gave up 131 yards on 47 attempts, which is 2.8 yards per rush allowed. New Mexico gave up 13 completions on 27 attempts for a total of 149 yards, and a completion rate of 48.1%. When the final whistle blew, they had 64 plays which gave them 258 yds. The New Mexico Lobos ran the ball a total of 46 times and accrued 216 yds, which earned them an average of 4.7 yards per carry.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos are sitting at 16.0 points per game. As a team they maintain an average of 140.7 yards rushing which has them sitting 78th in the nation. The Lobos have attained 2,223 total yards over the course of this year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico has compiled 3 touchdowns via the pass and 11 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico has accumulated 134 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 60 infractions for 519 yards. They have turned the ball over 12 times.

Concerning yards through the air, the Lobos are giving up 1,879 yds which has them ranked 37th in college football. They have yielded 208.8 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 58.8%. Overall, they are allowing 344.1 yards per game which has them ranked 32nd in Division 1. They have yielded 10 touchdowns via the pass as well as 13 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing an average of 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 135.3 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have given up 1,218 yards via the ground game in 9 outings. The Lobos are ranked 52nd in college football concerning team defense, giving up 24.4 PPG.

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The Falcons head into this matchup 6-3 for this year. For their last game, the Falcons got the win with a final of 13-7 when they played the Army Black Knights. Haaziq Daniels ended the contest with 98 yds on 6/13 passing while his QB rate was 94.1. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 7.5. Brad Roberts carried the ball 33 times for 135 yards, finishing the contest with 4.1 yds per carry for Air Force. Air Force ran for 4.3 yds per attempt, finishing with 226 yards on 53 attempts. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 324 yds while they ran 66 plays (4.9 yards per play). The Falcons pass defense allowed a completion rate of 28.6%, relinquishing 67 yards on 4 out of 14 through the air. Air Force conceded 35 rush attempts for 78 yards (2.2 yards per carry).

The Air Force Falcons maintain an average of 408.6 yards per outing, which has them sitting 58th in college football. The Air Force offense has 271 yds of penalties on 35 violations, which is good for 129th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. For the season to this point, the Falcons have racked up 757 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 84.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 131st in the nation. When discussing their scoring prowess, the Falcons rank 70th in the nation averaging 28.9 points per contest.

The Falcons are allowing 15.7 points per game, which has them sitting 7th in the nation. Air Force has conceded a total of 1,089 yards on the ground (121.0 yards per game) in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground for the season. In total, they have relinquished 141 points in total. They have conceded 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 153.9 yards per game, which has them ranked 2nd in the country. The Falcons defense has participated in 470 plays, which ranks them 1st in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -24

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