Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 8/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Friday, August 26, 2022

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (+16.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57

Aggie Memorial Stadium is the site where the New Mexico State Aggies (2-10 last year) will play the Nevada Wolf Pack (8-5 last season) on Friday. New Mexico State opens as 16.5-point dogs. The betting total is set at 57.

The Nevada Wolf Pack wrapped up their year holding a 8-5 mark. In their last game, the Wolf Pack played the Western Michigan Broncos and ended up losing by a score of 52-24. Nate Cox connected on 12/23 with 121 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 102 and finished the game with 1 pick. Devonte Lee was the rushing leader for the Wolf Pack with 7 totes for 85 yards (12.1 yds per carry). The Nevada Wolf Pack ran the ball 31 different times and had 121 yds, which had them averaging 3.9 yds per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 54 plays which gave them a total of 242 yards. Nevada surrendered 8 completions on 14 attempts for 162 yds, and a completion rate of 57.1%. Against the rush, the Wolf Pack conceded 352 yds on 52 tries, which calculates to 6.8 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to scoring, the Nevada Wolf Pack held an average of 35.7 points per game. As a team they maintained an average of 77.5 yds on the ground, which had them sitting 129th in Division 1. The Wolf Pack earned 5,519 total yards over the course of last season. Nevada compiled 38 passing touchdowns and 13 touchdowns via the ground. Nevada accumulated 290 1st downs as a team, and they were flagged for 85 penalties for 716 yds. They surrendered the ball 10 different times.

The Wolf Pack were sitting in 68th in Division 1 regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 26.5 PPG. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 189.5 yards on the ground per game last season. In total, they gave up 2,464 running yards through 13 outings. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Wolf Pack gave up 2,869 yds which had them ranked 67th in the country. In their 13 games played last year, they surrendered 220.7 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 62.1%. They relinquished 410.2 yards per outing which ranked them 90th in D-1. They granted 20 passing touchdowns as well as 22 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Aggies ended the year holding a 2-10 record. The last time they took the gridiron, the Aggies went home victorious with a score of 44-27 when they played the UMass Minutemen. Juwuan Price carried the football 24 times for 156 yds, ending the game with 6.5 yards per carry for New Mexico State. Jonah Johnson (2 TDs) finished the game with 420 yds on 26/32 through the air while his QB rating was 212.1. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 13.125. New Mexico State allowed 35 attempts on the ground for 281 yds (8.0 yards per rush). The Aggies passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 52.2%, relinquishing 124 yards on 12 out of 23 through the air. The Aggies finished the contest with a total of 623 yards while running 71 plays (8.8 yards per play). New Mexico State ran the ball for 5.5 yards per carry, totaling 203 yds on 37 carries.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Aggies sat 105th in college football scoring 22.6 PPG. Last season, the Aggies compiled 3,233 passing yards in addition to averaging 269.4 throwing yards per outing, which was ranked 25th in college football. The New Mexico State Aggies averaged 370.8 yards per outing, which ranked them 90th in the nation. The New Mexico State offense compiled 706 penalty yds on 82 infractions, which was good for 52nd in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team.

The Aggies allowed 40.4 PPG, which had them sitting 128th in the nation. New Mexico State allowed a total of 2,338 rushing yards (194.8 yards/game) in addition to 26 touchdowns via the rush throughout last season. Over the course of the season, they relinquished 485 total points. They gave up 31 touchdowns through the air and 294.3 yards/game, ranking them 128th in the country. The Aggies defense took the field for 797 plays, which ranked them 26th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wolf Pack -16.5

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