NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 11/25/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels
Date: Friday, November 25, 2022
Location: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC
TV: ABC
Odds/Point Spread: Tar Heels (-7)
Total/Over-Under: 55
The NC State Wolfpack (7-4) are en route to Kenan Stadium on Friday where they will meet the North Carolina Tar Heels (9-2). North Carolina opens as 7-point favorites. The total has been set at 55.
The NC State Wolfpack come into this matchup with a record of 7-4 this season. In their last matchup, the Wolfpack took the field against the Louisville Cardinals and went home with a loss by a final score of 25-10. Ben Finley went 16/35 with 201 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 97.7 and ended the game with 1 pick. Jordan Houston led the offense in rushing for the Wolfpack with 8 attempts for 41 yds (5.1 yds per attempt). When the final whistle blew, they had 73 plays which gave them 291 yds. The NC State Wolfpack ended up running the ball 31 different times and compiled 77 yds, which had them averaging 2.5 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Wolfpack gave up 192 yds on 39 attempts, which averages out to 4.9 yds per rush allowed. NC State allowed 12 pass completions on 25 attempts for a total of 153 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.0%.
When it comes to scoring, the NC State Wolfpack are averaging 24.9 points per outing. Offensively they have an average of 126.6 yards on the ground which is 101st in the nation. The Wolfpack have earned 3,792 total yards for the year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, NC State has amassed 21 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground. NC State has compiled 235 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 81 penalties for 652 yds. They have turned the football over 13 times.
When it comes to yards through the air, the Wolfpack have conceded 2,442 yds which ranks them 66th in the country. They are conceding 222.0 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 57.4%. For the season, they are giving up 323.4 yards/game putting them 21st in college football. They have yielded 13 touchdowns by air as well as 11 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt and 101.4 yards on the ground per contest this year. Overall, they have conceded 1,115 rushing yards through 11 contests. The Wolfpack sit in 16th in the nation concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 18.7 points per game.
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The Tar Heels head into this game 9-2 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Tar Heels walked away with a loss by a score of 21-17 against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Drake Maye finished the contest with 202 yds on 16/30 passing while his QB rate was 103.2. He had 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.7. Elijah Green carried the football 10 times for 92 yds, finishing the game with 9.2 yards per carry for North Carolina. North Carolina ran the football for 4.9 yds per carry, finishing the game with 163 yards on 33 carries. The Tar Heels finished with 365 yards and they ran 63 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Tar Heels secondary conceded a completion percentage of 65.2%, relinquishing 187 yds on 15 for 23 through the air. North Carolina relinquished 49 rushing attempts for 186 yds (3.8 yds per carry).
The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 492.7 yards/game, which has them ranked 9th in the country. The North Carolina offense has racked up 636 yards of penalties on 72 infractions, which has them ranked 49th in college football in terms of giving up free yards. During the season so far, the Tar Heels have compiled 3,618 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 328.9 throwing yards per outing, which is ranked 6th in D-1. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Tar Heels currently rank 13th in D-1 holding an average of 38.0 points per contest.
The Tar Heels are relinquishing 30.4 points per game, ranking them 105th in the country. North Carolina has surrendered a total of 1,977 yards rushing (179.7 yards per contest) and 23 touchdowns on the ground for the season. This season, they have relinquished 334 pts. They have allowed the opposition 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 273.2 yards per outing, which has them sitting 116th in D-1. The Tar Heels defense has participated in 811 plays, which ranks them 114th in D-1.
Who will win tonight's Wolfpack/Tar Heels college football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Wolfpack +7
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