Navy Midshipmen vs UCF Knights Prediction, 11/19/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, November 19, 2022

Location: Bounce House in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (-17)

Total/Over-Under: 53

The Navy Midshipmen (3-7) are traveling to Bounce House on Saturday where they will try to beat the UCF Knights (8-2). UCF opens this matchup as 17-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 53.

The Navy Midshipmen come into this game with a record of 3-7 for this year. In their last matchup, the Midshipmen took on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and went home with a loss by a final score of 35-32. Xavier Arline connected on 2/4 with 57 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 252.2 and finished the game with no picks. Daba Fofana was the leader on the ground for the Midshipmen with 15 attempts for 133 yds (8.9 yards per attempt). The Navy Midshipmen ran the rock 46 times and tallied 255 yds, earning them an average of 5.5 yards per carry. Overall, they tallied 59 plays which converted into 363 yards. Navy allowed 17 completions on 21 attempts for 269 yds, and a completion percentage of 81.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Midshipmen conceded 66 yards on 34 attempts, which is 1.9 yds per run allowed.

The Midshipmen have earned 3,390 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Navy has totaled 8 touchdowns via the pass and 19 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 times. Navy has recorded 186 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 34 infractions for 286 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 238.7 yards rushing ranking them 10th in D-1. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Navy Midshipmen have an average of 22.9 points per outing.

The Midshipmen rank 64th in D-1 concerning team defense, giving up 25.8 points per game. They are giving up an average of 3.0 yards per running attempt and 85.8 yards on the ground per contest for the season. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 858 yards via the running game in 10 outings. In terms of yards via the pass, the Midshipmen have allowed 2,744 yards which ranks them 115th in the nation. They are allowing 274.4 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 65.7%. For the year, they are granting 360.2 yards per outing ranking them 46th in the nation. They have given up 24 touchdowns through the air and 6 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Knights head into this game 8-2 for this year. In their last game, the Knights went home victorious with a score of 38-31 when they faced the Tulane Green Wave. John Rhys Plumlee carried the ball 18 times for 176 yards, ending the contest with 9.8 yds per attempt for UCF. John Rhys Plumlee (1 touchdown) ended the game with 132 yards on 17/30 passing while his quarterback rate was 104.6. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 4.4. UCF conceded 27 running attempts for 155 yds (5.7 yards per rush). The Knights secondary gave up a completion percentage of 59.0%, surrendering 236 yards on 23 out of 39 through the air. The Knights finished the contest with 468 yds while running 84 plays (5.6 yds per play). UCF ran for 6.2 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 336 yds on 54 carries.

The UCF Knights have an average of 497.7 yards/game, which has them ranked 9th in the nation. The UCF offense has racked up 550 yds of penalties on 57 violations, ranking them 85th in the country in terms of helping out the other team. Over the course of the season to this point, the Knights have thrown for a total of 2,482 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 248.2 passing yards per outing, putting them at 48th in D-1. Regarding putting points on the board, the Knights are sitting 20th in the nation averaging 35.9 points per outing.

The Knights are allowing 20.0 points per game, which puts them 22nd in D-1. UCF has conceded a total of 1,231 yards rushing (123.1 yards per game) and 13 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. This year, they have given up 200 points. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns via the pass and 240.5 yards/game, which has them sitting 85th in the nation. The Knights defense has been on the field for 682 plays, which is good for 59th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Knights college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Knights -17

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