Navy Midshipmen vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 10/14/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Friday, October 14, 2022

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56

Gerald J. Ford Stadium is the location where the SMU Mustangs (2-3) will take on the Navy Midshipmen (2-3) on Friday. SMU opens this contest as 10.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 56.

The Navy Midshipmen step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Midshipmen played the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and took home the win by a score of 53-21. Tai Lavatai went 1/6 with 9 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 29.3 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Daba Fofana was the leader on the ground for the Midshipmen with 21 totes for 159 yards (7.6 yards per attempt). When all was said and done, they ran 77 plays for 490 yards. The Navy Midshipmen ran the ball 69 times and compiled 455 yards, earning them an average of 6.6 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Midshipmen gave up 27 yards on 17 tries, which is an average of 1.6 yds per run allowed. Navy allowed 20 completions on 33 tries for a total of 284 yards, and a completion rate of 60.6%.

When it comes to scoring, the Navy Midshipmen are averaging 21.2 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 231.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 12th in D-1. The Midshipmen have racked up 1,709 total yards this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Navy has compiled 3 touchdowns via the pass and 9 rushing touchdowns. Navy has earned 93 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 17 infractions for 163 yds. They have turned the ball over 8 different times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Midshipmen have given up 1,311 yds which puts them in 66th in Division 1. They are allowing 262.2 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 64.8%. In total, they are allowing 349.0 yards/game ranking them 44th in the nation. They have granted 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 3 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing an average of 2.8 yards per run and 86.8 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Overall, they have given up 434 rushing yards through 5 outings. The Midshipmen are ranked 40th in college football concerning team defense, conceding 21.0 PPG.

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The Mustangs step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Mustangs took a loss by a score of 41-19 when they played the UCF Knights. Tanner Mordecai walked away from the contest with 295 yards on 28/45 through the air while his quarterback rating was 112.8. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6. Velton Gardner carried the football 12 times for 69 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.8 yards per carry for SMU. SMU rushed the football for 3.6 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 113 yards on 31 carries. The Mustangs finished with 476 yards on 85 plays (5.6 yds per play). The Mustangs secondary conceded a completion percentage of 71.0%, relinquishing 324 yds on 22 out of 31 passing. SMU allowed 40 attempts on the ground for 160 yards (4.0 yards per carry).

The SMU Mustangs average 500.2 yards per game, which ranks them 9th in D-1. The SMU offense has racked up 198 yards of penalties on 21 violations, which ranks them 128th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. During this campaign to this point, the Mustangs have compiled 1,775 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 355.0 throwing yards per contest, which has them sitting 4th in college football. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Mustangs are ranking 35th in the country by scoring 34.6 points per outing.

SMU has yielded a total of 882 yards on the ground (176.4 yards per outing) and 10 touchdowns on the ground for the campaign. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air and 240.4 yards/contest, which has them sitting 84th in the country. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 354 plays, which ranks them 27th in Division 1. The Mustangs are giving up 28.6 points per game, ranking them 82nd in Division 1. This year, they have conceded 143 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Mustangs -10.5

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