Navy Midshipmen vs East Carolina Pirates Prediction, 9/24/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs East Carolina Pirates

Date: Saturday, September 24, 2022

Location: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville, NC

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (-18.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Navy Midshipmen (0-2) are traveling to Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the East Carolina Pirates (2-1). Navy opens this game as 18.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 49.5.

The Navy Midshipmen head into this matchup 0-2 this season. In their last game, the Midshipmen faced the Memphis Tigers and ended up losing by a score of 37-13. Tai Lavatai led the offense in rushing for the Midshipmen with 18 carries for 37 yds (2.1 yards per attempt). Tai Lavatai went 3/7 with 99 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 208.8 and finished the game with no picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Midshipmen gave up 91 yds on 32 attempts, which calculates to 2.8 yds per rush surrendered. Navy gave up 24 completions on 35 tries for a total of 415 yds, and a completion percentage of 68.6%. In all, they ran 69 plays which totaled 314 yds. The Navy Midshipmen ran the football 58 different times and accounted for 215 yards, which had them averaging 3.7 yards per carry.

The Midshipmen have racked up 633 yards in total this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Navy has earned 1 touchdown through the air and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 different times. Navy has earned 34 first downs offensively, and they have committed 7 infractions for 70 yds. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 199.5 yards on the ground which has them sitting 45th in D-1. Concerning scoring, the Navy Midshipmen have an average of 10.0 PPG.

The Midshipmen rank 69th in college football when it comes to team defense, giving up 25.5 points per game. They are allowing an average of 1.7 yards per run and 52.0 rushing yards per game for the campaign. Over the course of this year, they have given up 104 rushing yards through 2 outings. Regarding yards via the pass, the Midshipmen have conceded 604 yards which ranks them 55th in D-1. They have relinquished 302.0 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 65.7%. Overall, they have allowed 354.0 yards per game putting them 63rd in college football. They have yielded 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Pirates step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this season. For their last game, the Pirates walked away with a victory by a final of 49-10 when they faced the Campbell Fighting Camels. Holton Ahlers (3 TDs) ended the contest with 263 yds on 17/20 passing while his quarterback rate was 245. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 13.2. Rahjai Harris ran the football 13 times for 39 yds, finishing the game with 3.0 yards per attempt for East Carolina. The Pirates ended up finishing with 572 yards on 65 plays (8.8 yards per play). East Carolina ended up running for 7.1 yds per attempt, finishing with 270 yds on 38 attempts. East Carolina surrendered 33 run attempts for 103 yards (3.1 yards per carry). The Pirates passing defense conceded a completion rate of 60.5%, relinquishing 300 yds on 23 out of 38 through the air.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Pirates are ranking 52nd in Division 1 scoring 36.0 points per contest. During this campaign so far, the Pirates have thrown for a total of 839 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 279.7 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 35th in college football. The East Carolina Pirates hold an average of 495.3 yards per contest, which has them ranked 23rd in the country. The East Carolina offense has racked up 89 penalty yds on 10 infractions, which is good for 127th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition.

The Pirates are conceding 17.3 PPG, which has them 36th in college football. East Carolina has allowed a total of 251 yards rushing (83.7 yards per contest) and 1 touchdown via the rush this year. This season, they have allowed 52 points in total. They have given up 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 262.0 yards/game, ranking them 101st in college football. The Pirates defense has been on the field for 179 plays, which is 23rd in college football.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Pirates college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates -18.5

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