Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 10/1/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Falcon Stadium in Usaf Academy, CO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-16)

Total/Over-Under: 39

The Navy Midshipmen (1-2) are en route to Falcon Stadium on Saturday where they will compete against the Air Force Falcons (3-1). Air Force opens this matchup as 16-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 39.

The Navy Midshipmen come into this game with a record of 1-2 this year. In their last matchup, the Midshipmen played against the East Carolina Pirates and went home with a win by a final score of 23-20. Tai Lavatai finished 7/10 with 152 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 230.7 and ended the contest with no interceptions. Tai Lavatai was the rushing leader for the Midshipmen with 15 attempts for 30 yds (2.0 yards per carry). The Navy Midshipmen ran the rock 66 different times and had 191 yards, earning them an average of 2.9 yards per carry. In all, they tallied 77 plays which gave them a total of 343 yds. Navy surrendered 22 completions on 34 tries for a total of 267 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.7%. When it came to stopping the run, the Midshipmen gave up 103 yds on 28 tries, which averages out to 3.7 yds per run surrendered.

When it comes to scoring, the Navy Midshipmen are sitting at 14.3 points per game. As a team they average 196.7 yards rushing ranking them 31st in the country. The Midshipmen have earned 976 yards in total for the season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Navy has compiled 2 passing touchdowns and 3 touchdowns via the ground. Navy has earned 56 first downs as a team, and they have committed 8 infractions for 75 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times.

In terms of yards through the air, the Midshipmen are allowing 871 yards which has them sitting in 64th in D-1. They are allowing 290.3 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 65.3%. Overall, they have yielded 359.3 yards/game which puts them 61st in the nation. They have yielded 6 touchdowns by air in addition to 2 touchdowns running the ball. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.3 yards per rush on the ground and 69.0 yards on the ground per game for the year. In total, they have given up 207 running yards through 3 games. The Midshipmen are ranked 65th in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 23.7 PPG.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 this year. In their last game, the Falcons got the victory with a final of 48-20 against the Nevada Wolf Pack. Ben Brittain (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 80 yds on 1/1 through the air while his QB rating was 1102. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his Y/A was 80.0. Brad Roberts carried the ball 20 times for 123 yds, walking away from the contest with 6.2 yards per attempt for Air Force. The Falcons finished the contest with a total of 541 yards while running 78 plays (6.9 yards per play). Air Force ran the ball for 6.1 yds per attempt, totaling 461 yds on 75 carries. Air Force allowed 18 rush attempts for 112 yards (6.2 yds per carry). The Falcons pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 130 yards on 12 out of 20 through the air.

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Falcons currently rank 33rd in the country holding an average of 37.8 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 298 passing yards along with an average of 74.5 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 129th in the nation. The Air Force Falcons have an average of 486.8 yards per outing, which is good for 23rd in the nation. The Air Force offense has compiled 96 penalty yds on 13 infractions, which ranks them 128th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition.

Air Force has surrendered a total of 522 rushing yards (130.5 yards per outing) in addition to 5 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have allowed 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 157.3 yards per contest, ranking them 12th in the country. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 205 plays, which is 6th in D-1. The Falcons are allowing 16.0 points per game, which has them sitting 22nd in the nation. In total, they have relinquished 64 points.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +16

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