Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 11/24/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Thursday, November 24, 2022

Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 63

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium is the location where the Ole Miss Rebels (8-3) will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4) on Thursday. Ole Miss opens this game as 4.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 63.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 7-4 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Bulldogs faced off with the East Tennessee State Buccaneeers and earned the victory with a final of 56-7. Will Rogers connected on 30/37 with 301 yards through the air and 5 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 194 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Jo'quavious Marks was the rushing leader for the Bulldogs with 5 totes for 58 yards (11.6 yds per carry). The Mississippi State Bulldogs ended up rushing 16 different times and totaled 76 yards, which is an average of 4.8 yds per attempt. When the final whistle blew, they ran 65 plays which gave them a total of 418 yds. Mississippi State relinquished 6 pass completions on 18 tries for a total of 43 yds, and a completion rate of 33.3%. On the ground, the Bulldogs conceded 111 yards on 40 tries, which averages out to 2.8 yds per run allowed.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Mississippi State Bulldogs hold an average of 33.5 points per game. Offensively they hold an average of 77.2 yards in the run game ranking them 130th in the country. The Bulldogs have racked up 4,382 total yards for this campaign. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Mississippi State has compiled 33 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. Mississippi State has compiled 255 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 70 penalties for 688 yds. They have turned the football over 14 different times.

Regarding yards through the air, the Bulldogs have given up 2,224 yds which puts them in 38th in the country. They are giving up 202.2 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 56.9%. During the season, they are surrendering 351.7 yards per outing which has them ranked 39th in D-1. They have conceded 13 touchdowns by air and 19 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 4.3 yards per run and 149.5 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 1,645 running yards through 11 games. The Bulldogs rank 48th in the nation in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 24.4 points per contest.

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The Rebels come into this game with a record of 8-3 this year. For their last game, the Rebels took a loss by a score of 42-27 when they faced the Arkansas Razorbacks. Jaxson Dart (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 240 yds on 21/36 passing while his quarterback rating was 117.9. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 6.7. Quinshon Judkins ran the football 24 times for 214 yards, walking away from the game with 8.9 yards per carry for Ole Miss. Ole Miss ran for 8.7 yards per attempt, finishing with 463 yards on 53 attempts. The Rebels finished the game with 703 yds while they ran 89 plays (7.9 yds per play). The Rebels pass defense allowed a completion rate of 77.3%, surrendering 168 yds on 17 for 22 through the air. Ole Miss conceded 43 rushing attempts for 335 yards (7.8 yards per carry).

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Rebels sit 24th in the nation holding an average of 35.3 points per contest. During this campaign so far, the Rebels have thrown for a total of 2,499 yards via the pass along with an average of 227.2 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 71st in D-1. The Ole Miss Rebels hold an average of 505.5 yards/contest, ranking them 4th in the country. The Ole Miss offense has totaled 721 penalty yards on 77 violations, which is 27th in college football in terms of helping out the other team.

Ole Miss has surrendered a total of 1,845 yards via the ground game (167.7 yards per game) as well as 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. They have allowed 19 touchdowns through the air as well as 216.1 yards per game, which has them ranked 53rd in Division 1. The Rebels defense has participated in 782 plays, which is 96th in Division 1. The Rebels are conceding 24.2 PPG, which puts them 47th in college football. Overall, they have conceded 266 pts.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +4.5

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