Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 10/15/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, October 15, 2022

Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (+6)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Kroger Field is the site where the Kentucky Wildcats (4-2) will go up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-1) on Saturday. Mississippi State opens this game as 6-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 47.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 5-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Bulldogs played the Arkansas Razorbacks and went home with a win by a final score of 40-17. Dillon Johnson led the offense in rushing for the Bulldogs with 17 totes for 100 yds (5.9 yards per carry). Will Rogers went 31/48 with 395 yds through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 154.3 and ended the game with no picks. In the running game, the Bulldogs gave up 241 yards on 44 tries, which averages out to 5.5 yards per run allowed. Mississippi State surrendered 10 completions on 23 attempts for a total of 242 yards, and a completion percentage of 43.5%. On the day, they ran 85 plays which totaled 568 yds. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ended up rushing 37 different times and accumulated 173 yds, which came out to an average of 4.7 yards per attempt.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are sitting at 38.5 PPG. As a unit they are averaging 106.7 yards via the ground game which is 115th in college football. The Bulldogs have attained 2,768 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Mississippi State has compiled 22 passing touchdowns and 8 touchdowns on the ground. Mississippi State has a total of 156 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 35 infractions for 388 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 different times.

The Bulldogs are ranked 39th in the country in terms of team defense, giving up 21.0 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 138.5 rushing yards per game on the year. For the season, they have conceded 831 rushing yards through 6 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Bulldogs are conceding 1,317 yards which puts them in 69th in D-1. They have relinquished 219.5 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 56.8%. Over the course of this season, they are conceding 358.0 yards per contest ranking them 54th in the country. They have allowed 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 9 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Wildcats come into this matchup with a record of 4-2 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Wildcats took a loss by a score of 24-14 when they played the South Carolina Gamecocks. Kaiya Sheron (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 178 yds on 15/27 through the air while his QB rate was 128. He had 1 interception and his Y/A was 6.6. Christopher Rodriguez Jr. ran the ball 22 times for 126 yards, ending the contest with 5.7 yards per attempt for Kentucky. Kentucky rushed for 3.4 yards per carry, finishing the game with 121 yards on 36 attempts. The Wildcats finished the contest with a total of 299 yds while running 63 plays (4.7 yds per play). The Wildcats passing defense gave up a completion rate of 73.7%, relinquishing 177 yds on 14 out of 19 passing. Kentucky allowed 42 run attempts for 179 yards (4.3 yards per carry).

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Wildcats are sitting 87th in college football averaging 26.3 PPG. For the season thus far, the Wildcats have thrown for a total of 1,583 passing yards as well as an average of 263.8 passing yards per contest, ranking them 43rd in the country. The Kentucky Wildcats maintain an average of 356.3 yards per contest, which has them ranked 99th in the country. The Kentucky offense has 162 yds of penalties on 27 violations, which is 114th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team.

The Wildcats are allowing 16.3 points per game, ranking them 18th in college football. Kentucky has yielded a total of 798 yards via the ground game (133.0 yards per game) and 7 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 98 total points. They have given up 3 touchdowns from the passing game and 174.2 yards per outing, which has them in 16th in the nation. The Wildcats defense has taken the field for 363 plays, which is 31st in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -6

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