Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 10/22/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Saturday, October 22, 2022

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Crimson Tide (-21.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62

The Alabama Crimson Tide (6-1) will compete against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-2) at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday. Alabama opens this matchup as 21.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 62.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head into this game 5-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs went up against the Kentucky Wildcats and took a loss by a final of 27-17. Will Rogers connected on 25/37 with 203 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 117.2 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Dillon Johnson led the offense in rushing for the Bulldogs with 2 carries for 16 yds (8.0 yds per carry). The Mississippi State Bulldogs ran the rock 10 different times and recorded 22 yards, earning them an average of 2.2 yards per attempt. Overall, they had 47 plays which totaled 225 yards. Mississippi State surrendered 19 completions on 25 attempts for 239 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.0%. In the running game, the Bulldogs gave up 239 yards on 48 attempts, which is an average of 5.0 yards per rush allowed.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 35.4 PPG. As a unit they average 93.0 yards via the ground game ranking them 123rd in D-1. The Bulldogs currently have 2,993 yards in total for this campaign. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Mississippi State has compiled 23 passing touchdowns and 8 touchdowns via the ground. Mississippi State has accounted for 169 first downs, and they have been flagged for 48 infractions for 497 yards. They have surrendered the ball 11 times.

The Bulldogs are sitting in 35th in Division 1 regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 21.9 PPG. They are giving up 4.6 yards per run and 152.9 rushing yards per game on the campaign. For the season, they have given up 1,070 yards via the ground game in 7 outings. When talking about passing yards, the Bulldogs are allowing 1,556 yards which ranks them 75th in college football. They have given up 222.3 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 59.1%. In total, they are allowing 375.1 yards per outing which has them ranked 65th in D-1. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air and 11 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Crimson Tide come into this matchup with a record of 6-1 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Crimson Tide took a loss by a final score of 52-49 against the Tennessee Volunteers. Bryce Young (2 TDs) ended the game with 455 yards on 35/52 passing while his QB rating was 153.5. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 8.8. Jahmyr Gibbs ran the football 24 times for 103 yards, ending the contest with 4.3 yds per attempt for Alabama. Alabama ran for 3.7 yds per carry, finishing the game with 114 yards on 31 attempts. The Crimson Tide finished the contest with a total of 569 yds on 83 plays (6.9 yards per play). The Crimson Tide pass defense gave up a completion rate of 67.7%, surrendering 385 yds on 21 for 31 passing. Alabama gave up 39 run attempts for 182 yards (4.7 yds per carry).

The Alabama Crimson Tide have an average of 513.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 7th in D-1. The Alabama offense has accrued 559 penalty yards on 66 infractions, which is 1st in college football in terms of helping out the other team. During the season so far, the Crimson Tide have thrown for a total of 1,934 passing yards in addition to an average of 276.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 37th in Division 1. When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Crimson Tide are sitting 5th in the country scoring 45.0 PPG.

The Crimson Tide are allowing 18.1 points per contest, which has them sitting 19th in Division 1. Alabama has conceded a total of 689 rushing yards (98.4 yards/game) as well as 6 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. Overall, they have conceded 127 pts. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air and 197.6 yards/game, which has them in 31st in the country. The Crimson Tide defense has taken the field for 469 plays, which ranks them 83rd in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Crimson Tide college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Crimson Tide -21.5

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