Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, 11/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions

Date: Saturday, November 26, 2022

Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Nittany Lions (-17)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2) host the Michigan State Spartans (5-6) at Beaver Stadium on Saturday. Penn State opens as 17-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 52.

The Michigan State Spartans head into this game 5-6 for this year. In their last game, the Spartans played against the Indiana Hoosiers and took a loss by a score of 39-31. Payton Thorne connected on 27/42 with 298 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 134.8 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Jalen Berger was the best rusher for the Spartans with 21 carries for 119 yards (5.7 yds per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 90 plays which gave them a total of 540 yds. The Michigan State Spartans ran the football 48 times and recorded 242 yards, which is an average of 5.0 yds per carry. On the ground, the Spartans conceded 257 yards on 44 tries, which is an average of 5.8 yards per rush surrendered. Michigan State conceded 2 completions on 7 attempts for 31 yards, and a completion percentage of 28.6%.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Michigan State Spartans hold an average of 25.2 points per game. Offensively they average 121.0 yards in the run game which has them sitting 105th in the country. The Spartans have earned 3,982 yards in total this season. With reference to notching touchdowns, Michigan State has earned 22 touchdowns through the air and 15 rushing touchdowns. Michigan State has compiled 223 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 65 penalties for 619 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 times.

Regarding passing yards, the Spartans are conceding 2,605 yards which has them sitting in 83rd in the nation. They have relinquished 236.8 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 65.2%. During this campaign, they have relinquished 417.1 yards/game which ranks them 103rd in college football. They have granted 21 touchdowns via the pass as well as 14 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 180.3 rushing yards per game so far this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,983 yards via the running game in 11 outings. The Spartans are ranked 73rd in college football concerning team defense, allowing 26.7 points per game.

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The Nittany Lions head into this matchup 9-2 for this season. In their last game, the Nittany Lions walked away with a victory by a final of 55-10 when they faced the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Sean Clifford (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 157 yds on 17/26 passing while his QB rate was 128.8. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 6.0. Kaytron Allen ran the ball 11 times for 117 yards, ending the contest with 10.6 yds per attempt for Penn State. The Nittany Lions finished with 436 yds and they ran 73 plays (6.0 yards per play). Penn State rushed for 6.4 yds per carry, finishing with 237 yds on 37 attempts. Penn State conceded 35 rushing attempts for 32 yards (0.9 yards per rush). The Nittany Lions pass defense conceded a completion rate of 44.1%, surrendering 135 yards on 15 for 34 passing.

The Penn State Nittany Lions are averaging 434.5 yards/game, which ranks them 37th in college football. The Penn State offense has compiled 549 yds of penalties on 61 violations, which is 85th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. During this campaign thus far, the Nittany Lions have a total of 2,754 yards through the air together with holding an average of 250.4 passing yards per game, putting them at 44th in college football. Concerning this team's ability to score points, the Nittany Lions currently rank 19th in college football by tallying 35.9 points per contest.

Penn State has allowed a total of 1,236 yards rushing (112.4 yards/game) and 12 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have yielded 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 211.3 yards/outing, which has them sitting 48th in Division 1. The Nittany Lions defense has been on the field for 760 plays, which is good for 69th in Division 1. The Nittany Lions are conceding 18.2 points per game, ranking them 14th in college football. In total, they have given up 200 points.

Who will win tonight's Spartans/Nittany Lions college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Spartans +17

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