Memphis Tigers vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Memphis Tigers vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, November 26, 2022

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 72

The Memphis Tigers (6-5) are en route to Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday where they will compete against the SMU Mustangs (6-5). Memphis opens as 4-point underdogs. The total comes in at 72.

The Memphis Tigers head into this game 6-5 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Tigers stepped onto the field against the North Alabama Lions and went home with a win by a final score of 59-0. An'darius Coffey was the rushing leader for the Tigers with 14 attempts for 83 yds (5.9 yds per attempt). Seth Henigan finished 14/24 with 218 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 148.4 and finished the game without throwing a pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Tigers gave up 100 yds on 30 tries, which calculates to 3.3 yards per run allowed. Memphis surrendered 6 pass completions on 19 attempts for a total of 24 yds, and a completion rate of 31.6%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 72 plays which converted into 493 yards. The Memphis Tigers ran the football 43 different times and totaled 246 yds, which earned them an average of 5.7 yds per attempt.

When talking about scoring points, the Memphis Tigers are sitting at 35.5 points per game. As a team they're maintaining an average of 141.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 80th in D-1. The Tigers currently have 4,609 total yards for this campaign. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Memphis has amassed 19 touchdowns through the air and 25 rushing touchdowns. Memphis has a total of 241 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 45 infractions for 404 yards. They have turned the football over 14 different times.

The Tigers are ranked 72nd in Division 1 in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 26.7 PPG. They are allowing 3.6 yards per run and 122.5 rushing yards per game this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,348 yards via the running game in 11 outings. Regarding passing yards, the Tigers have given up 2,691 yds which puts them in 94th in D-1. They have given up 244.6 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.5%. Overall, they are allowing 367.2 yards/game ranking them 55th in D-1. They have yielded 21 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Mustangs come into this matchup with a record of 6-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs took a loss by a score of 59-24 against the Tulane Green Wave. Tanner Mordecai (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 298 yards on 32/49 passing while his QB rate was 121.7. He tossed 2 interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.1. Tyler Lavine ran the ball 18 times for 82 yds, finishing the game with 4.6 yards per carry for SMU. SMU ran for 3.2 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 141 yds on 44 carries. The Mustangs finished the contest with 470 yds while they ran 96 plays (4.9 yds per play). The Mustangs passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 64.3%, relinquishing 140 yards on 9 for 14 through the air. SMU surrendered 42 attempts on the ground for 310 yds (7.4 yards per carry).

The SMU Mustangs maintain an average of 484.9 yards per contest, which has them sitting 10th in Division 1. The SMU offense has accrued 452 penalty yards on 47 infractions, which is good for 120th in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. For the year thus far, the Mustangs have thrown for a total of 3,588 passing yards not to mention an average of 326.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 7th in college football. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Mustangs are ranked 10th in the country averaging 38.8 points per contest.

The Mustangs are relinquishing 35.0 points per contest, which puts them 122nd in Division 1. SMU has yielded a total of 2,286 rushing yards (207.8 yards per contest) and 25 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. Overall, they have relinquished 385 points in total. They have allowed 24 touchdowns through the air as well as 238.5 yards per outing, which has them ranked 90th in the nation. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 802 plays, which is 110th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +4

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