LSU Tigers vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 1/2/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Monday, January 2, 2023

Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Boilermakers (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The LSU Tigers (9-4) are hitting the road to Camping World Stadium on Monday, January 2, 2023 where they will compete against the Purdue Boilermakers (8-5) in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl. LSU opens this game as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 56.5.

The LSU Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 9-4 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Tigers took on the Georgia Bulldogs and took a loss by a score of 50-30. Josh Williams was the rushing leader for the Tigers with 6 attempts for 55 yds (9.2 yards per carry). Garrett Nussmeier went 15/27 with 294 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 164.1 and finished the contest with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Tigers gave up 255 yards on 44 tries, which is an average of 5.8 yards per run allowed. LSU allowed 23 pass completions on 29 attempts for 274 yds, and a completion percentage of 79.3%. When all was said and done, they had 72 plays which converted into 549 yds. The LSU Tigers ended up rushing 20 different times and accrued 47 yards, which is an average of 2.4 yards per tote.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the LSU Tigers are averaging 32.3 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 181.1 yards in the run game ranking them 45th in D-1. The Tigers have earned 5,755 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, LSU has compiled 20 touchdowns via the pass and 35 touchdowns on the ground. LSU has amassed 319 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 79 penalties for 688 yds. They have surrendered the ball 18 different times.

The Tigers rank 46th in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 23.7 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 152.5 rushing yards per game for the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 1,983 yards via the ground game in 13 contests. Regarding passing yardage, the Tigers have conceded 2,718 yds which has them sitting in 67th in Division 1. They have relinquished 209.1 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 57.0%. In total, they have surrendered 361.6 yards per game which ranks them 47th in the country. They have conceded 16 touchdowns by air and 18 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Boilermakers step onto the field holding a record of 8-5 for this year. The last time they took the gridiron, the Boilermakers took a loss by a score of 43-22 when they played the Michigan Wolverines. Devin Mockobee carried the ball 17 times for 71 yds, finishing the game with 4.2 yds per carry for Purdue. Aidan O'Connell ended the contest with 366 yds on 32/47 passing while his quarterback rating was 125. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.8. Purdue gave up 38 rushing attempts for 225 yds (5.9 yards per rush). The Boilermakers pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 64.7%, relinquishing 161 yards on 11 for 17 passing. The Boilermakers finished the game with a total of 456 yards and they ran 84 plays (5.4 yards per play). Purdue rushed the ball for 2.4 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 90 yds on 37 carries.

When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Boilermakers are 70th in D-1 by scoring 28.1 PPG. Over the course of the season thus far, the Boilermakers have compiled 3,734 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 287.2 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 17th in the country. The Purdue Boilermakers have an average of 410.3 yards/outing, which has them sitting 50th in Division 1. The Purdue offense has accrued 711 yards of penalties on 69 violations, which has them sitting 85th in the nation in terms of hurting your team.

Purdue has surrendered a total of 1,768 rushing yards (136.0 yards per contest) in addition to 16 touchdowns rushing for the campaign. They have conceded 23 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 213.8 yards/game, ranking them 50th in the country. The Boilermakers defense has taken the field for 822 plays, which is 56th in D-1. The Boilermakers are surrendering 24.6 PPG, ranking them 53rd in D-1. This season, they have relinquished 320 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Boilermakers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers -4.5

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