Liberty Flames vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 10/8/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, October 8, 2022

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+25.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50

The UMass Minutemen (1-4) will try to beat the Liberty Flames (4-1) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Saturday. Liberty opens as 25.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 50.

The Liberty Flames come into this game with a record of 4-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Flames faced the Old Dominion Monarchs and took home the win by a score of 38-24. Kaidon Salter went 10/19 with 170 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 141.5 and walked away from the game with 2 interceptions. Dae Dae Hunter was the leader on the ground for the Flames with 15 carries for 121 yards (8.1 yards per carry). For the game, they had 67 plays which gave them 478 yds. The Liberty Flames ended up rushing 39 different times and recorded 210 yds, which is an average of 5.4 yards per tote. Against the rush, the Flames gave up 118 yards on 34 tries, which is an average of 3.5 yds per rush allowed. Liberty surrendered 27 completions on 46 attempts for 297 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.7%.

The Flames have racked up 2,059 total yards for the year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Liberty has earned 9 passing touchdowns and 9 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 12 times. Liberty has a total of 104 first downs, and they have been called for 36 infractions for 321 yards. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 195.2 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 29th in the nation. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Liberty Flames are averaging 29.0 points per contest.

The Flames rank 55th in college football when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 22.8 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.7 yards per run and 136.8 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. During this campaign, they have allowed 684 yards via the ground game in 5 contests. Concerning yards through the air, the Flames are giving up 1,142 yards which ranks them 75th in the country. They have given up 228.4 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 57.1%. For the year, they have given up 365.2 yards per contest which puts them 61st in the nation. They have conceded 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 6 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Minutemen head into this game 1-4 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Minutemen took a loss by a final score of 20-13 against the Eastern Michigan Eagles. Gino Campiotti ended the game with 87 yds on 8/18 passing while his quarterback rate was 73.9. He had 1 interception and his Y/A was 4.8. Gino Campiotti carried the rock 25 times for 118 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.7 yards per attempt for UMass. The Minutemen finished the game with a total of 255 yards on 66 plays (3.9 yards per play). UMass ran the ball for 3.5 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 168 yds on 48 attempts. UMass conceded 43 attempts on the ground for 217 yds (5.0 yards per rush). The Minutemen secondary gave up a completion rate of 54.2%, surrendering 122 yds on 13 out of 24 passing.

The UMass Minutemen average 249.6 yards per game, which ranks them 128th in the nation. The UMass offense has compiled 408 penalty yds on 46 infractions, which is good for 6th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. For the season so far, the Minutemen have compiled 337 passing yards not to mention an average of 67.4 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 130th in the nation. In relation to putting points on the board, the Minutemen currently rank 131st in the nation with an average of 10.6 PPG.

The Minutemen are allowing 29.6 PPG, which has them sitting 93rd in Division 1. UMass has yielded a total of 881 yards rushing (176.2 yards per game) and 12 touchdowns rushing on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 148 points. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns from the passing game and 176.8 yards/contest, which has them in 21st in D-1. The Minutemen defense has been on the field for 315 plays, which ranks 40th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Minutemen +25.5

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