Liberty Flames vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 12/20/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Tuesday, December 20, 2022

Location: FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Rockets (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

FAU Stadium is the site where the Toledo Rockets (8-5) will try to defeat the Liberty Flames (8-4) on Tuesday, December 20, 2022 in the RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl. Liberty opens as 1.5-point underdogs. The total is 51.5.

The Liberty Flames head into this matchup 8-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Flames took the field against the New Mexico State Aggies and took a loss by a score of 49-14. Kaidon Salter finished 12/17 with 101 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 139.9 and finished the game without throwing a pick. TJ Green was the best rusher for the Flames with 9 carries for 55 yards (6.1 yards per attempt). The Liberty Flames rushed the ball a total of 35 times and tallied 108 yards, which came out to an average of 3.1 yards per attempt. For the game, they tallied 74 plays for 315 yds. Liberty relinquished 16 pass completions on 21 attempts for 214 yards, and a completion rate of 76.2%. In the running game, the Flames conceded 214 yards on 43 tries, which is an average of 5.0 yards per run surrendered.

When talking about scoring points, the Liberty Flames are averaging 28.3 points per outing. As a team they're holding an average of 178.6 yards on the ground which is 47th in the nation. The Flames have tallied 4,810 total yards for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Liberty has compiled 19 touchdowns via the pass and 23 touchdowns via the ground. Liberty has recorded 254 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 76 infractions for 656 yards. They have turned the ball over 26 times.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Flames have conceded 2,416 yds which ranks them 28th in the nation. They have conceded 201.3 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 58.3%. During this campaign, they are conceding 345.3 yards per outing which puts them 33rd in college football. They have allowed 16 touchdowns by air as well as 19 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 3.8 yards per run and 144.1 yards on the ground per game on the season. During the season, they have given up 1,729 running yards through 12 games. The Flames sit in 56th in the nation in terms of team defense, giving up 24.9 PPG.

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The Rockets come into this matchup with a record of 8-5 this season. In their last game, the Rockets took home the win by a final score of 17-7 when they played the Ohio Bobcats. DeQuan Finn (1 touchdown) finished the game with 154 yards on 16/25 passing while his quarterback rating was 128.9. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 6.2. Jacquez Stuart carried the ball 9 times for 93 yds, finishing the game with 10.3 yds per carry for Toledo. The Rockets finished the game with 390 yds on 71 plays (5.5 yards per play). Toledo ran the football for 5.1 yards per carry, finishing with 236 yards on 46 attempts. Toledo relinquished 29 run attempts for 99 yards (3.4 yds per carry). The Rockets pass defense gave up a completion rate of 54.8%, surrendering 163 yds on 17 out of 31 through the air.

The Toledo Rockets average 405.8 yards/game, which has them sitting 52nd in D-1. The Toledo offense has racked up 715 yds of penalties on 88 violations, which is good for 18th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. For the season thus far, the Rockets have thrown for 2,961 yards through the air along with an average of 227.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 68th in D-1. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Rockets currently rank 39th in the nation by tallying 32.1 points per game.

The Rockets are surrendering 25.5 points per game, which has them ranked 59th in college football. Toledo has given up a total of 1,903 yards rushing (146.4 yards per outing) and 23 touchdowns rushing so far this year. In total, they have surrendered 332 points. They have conceded 16 touchdowns through the air and 185.5 yards per outing, which puts them in 15th in D-1. The Rockets defense has taken the field for 911 plays, which ranks 120th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Rockets college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rockets -1.5

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