Iowa State Cyclones vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 11/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Iowa State Cyclones vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, November 26, 2022

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (-11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48

Amon G. Carter Stadium is the location where the TCU Horned Frogs (11-0) will try to defeat the Iowa State Cyclones (4-7) on Saturday. TCU opens this matchup as 11.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 48.

The Iowa State Cyclones head into this matchup 4-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Cyclones went up against the Texas Tech Red Raiders and ended up losing by a score of 14-10. Cartevious Norton led the offense in rushing for the Cyclones with 19 carries for 59 yds (3.1 yards per carry). Hunter Dekkers connected on 23/35 with 294 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 145.7 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Cyclones gave up 105 yds on 38 attempts, which is an average of 2.8 yds per run allowed. Iowa State relinquished 15 pass completions on 21 tries for 141 yards, and a completion rate of 71.4%. In the game, they ran 79 plays which gave them 422 yards. The Iowa State Cyclones ran the ball a total of 43 different times and tallied 128 yds, earning them an average of 3.0 yds per attempt.

The Cyclones have earned 4,107 total yards for the season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Iowa State has earned 18 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 19 different times. Iowa State has a total of 226 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 59 penalties for 475 yds. As a unit they have an average of 103.4 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 119th in college football. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Iowa State Cyclones have an average of 20.7 points per contest.

The Cyclones are ranked 8th in the nation regarding team defense, allowing 16.5 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.2 yards per rush on the ground and 105.2 rushing yards per contest on the year. In total, they have given up 1,157 running yards through 11 contests. In terms of yards through the air, the Cyclones have allowed 1,893 yds which puts them in 11th in the country. They are allowing 172.1 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 57.7%. For the year, they have allowed 277.3 yards per game ranking them 8th in Division 1. They have yielded 17 touchdowns by air as well as 6 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 11-0 this year. When they last played, the Horned Frogs walked away with a victory by a final of 29-28 against the Baylor Bears. Max Duggan (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 327 yds on 24/35 passing while his QB rate was 150.8. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 9.3. Max Duggan ran the football 8 times for 50 yds, ending the game with 6.3 yds per carry for TCU. TCU ran the ball for 4.3 yds per carry, finishing the game with 115 yards on 27 attempts. The Horned Frogs finished with 442 yds while they ran 63 plays (7.0 yds per play). The Horned Frogs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 70.0%, relinquishing 269 yds on 21 out of 30 passing. TCU gave up 46 running attempts for 232 yards (5.0 yds per carry).

Regarding putting points on the board, the Horned Frogs are sitting 8th in D-1 by tallying 39.5 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Horned Frogs have thrown for a total of 3,053 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 277.5 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 25th in the country. The TCU Horned Frogs hold an average of 482.1 yards/contest, which is good for 11th in college football. The TCU offense has racked up 507 penalty yds on 50 infractions, which is 115th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards.

TCU has allowed a total of 1,573 yards rushing (143.0 yards per outing) and 18 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have given up 17 touchdowns from the passing game and 245.4 yards per outing, which has them ranked 95th in Division 1. The Horned Frogs defense has taken part in 780 plays, which ranks 92nd in the country. The Horned Frogs are surrendering 25.5 points per contest, which has them 60th in D-1. Overall, they have surrendered 281 points.

Who will win tonight's Cyclones/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -11.5

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