Cincinnati Bearcats vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 10/22/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Bearcats vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, October 22, 2022

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

The SMU Mustangs (3-3) welcome the Cincinnati Bearcats (5-1) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday. Cincinnati opens this game as 3-point favorites. The total comes in at 63.5.

The Cincinnati Bearcats step onto the field holding a record of 5-1 this year. In their last matchup, the Bearcats faced off with the USF Bulls and notched a win by a score of 28-24. Ben Bryant finished 15/21 with 178 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 155 and finished the game with 2 picks. Charles McClelland was the leader on the ground for the Bearcats with 21 attempts for 179 yds (8.5 yds per carry). The Cincinnati Bearcats ended up rushing 37 different times and totaled 221 yards, which earned them an average of 6.0 yards per carry. When the final whistle blew, they ran 60 plays which converted into 414 yds. Cincinnati relinquished 11 completions on 21 tries for a total of 139 yds, and a completion percentage of 52.4%. Against the rush, the Bearcats conceded 224 yds on 43 attempts, which is an average of 5.2 yds per rush surrendered.

In terms of scoring points, the Cincinnati Bearcats are averaging 38.2 PPG. As a team they are averaging 156.8 yards on the ground which has them sitting 64th in the country. The Bearcats have earned 2,613 total yards for the year. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Cincinnati has compiled 15 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns via the ground. Cincinnati has accumulated 125 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 54 infractions for 483 yards. They have turned the football over 10 times.

The Bearcats rank 30th in Division 1 in terms of the opposition scoring, giving up 21.2 points per contest. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.8 yards per rush and 126.8 yards on the ground per game for the campaign. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 761 running yards through 6 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Bearcats have conceded 1,118 yds which has them sitting in 13th in the nation. They are giving up 186.3 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 51.0%. In total, they have relinquished 313.2 yards per contest putting them at 19th in Division 1. They have allowed 9 touchdowns by air and 7 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Mustangs come into this matchup with a record of 3-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs walked away with a victory by a final of 40-34 when they faced the Navy Midshipmen. Tanner Mordecai carried the football 6 times for 74 yards, ending the contest with 12.3 yds per carry for SMU. Tanner Mordecai (3 TDs) finished the game with 336 yds on 20/27 through the air while his QB rating was 215.3. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 12.4. SMU conceded 77 running attempts for 372 yds (4.8 yds per carry). The Mustangs secondary gave up a completion percentage of 37.5%, relinquishing 136 yards on 9 out of 24 passing. The Mustangs finished the contest with 441 yds and they ran 48 plays (9.2 yards per play). SMU ran the ball for 5.0 yds per attempt, finishing with 105 yards on 21 carries.

In relation to how much they score, the Mustangs are ranked 32nd in Division 1 holding an average of 35.5 points per game. During this campaign to this point, the Mustangs have a total of 2,111 yards via the pass as well as an average of 351.8 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 4th in the nation. The SMU Mustangs average 490.3 yards per game, which ranks them 15th in the country. The SMU offense has 253 penalty yds on 26 violations, which is good for 127th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team.

The Mustangs are surrendering 29.5 PPG, which has them sitting 92nd in Division 1. SMU has conceded a total of 1,254 yards rushing (209.0 yards/game) and 13 touchdowns via the rush for the season. This year, they have allowed 177 total points. They have allowed 9 touchdowns via the pass as well as 223.0 yards/outing, which has them ranked 60th in the country. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 455 plays, which has them sitting 69th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Bearcats/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mustangs +3

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