Bowling Green Falcons vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 9/24/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, September 24, 2022

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-30.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57

The Bowling Green Falcons (1-2) are hitting the road to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday where they will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1). Mississippi State opens this contest as 30.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 57.

The Bowling Green Falcons head into this game 1-2 this season. In their last contest, the Falcons played against the Marshall Thundering Herd and notched a win by a score of 34-31. Matt McDonald connected on 27/45 with 282 yds passing and 4 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 142 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Matt McDonald was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 8 totes for 24 yards (3.0 yards per attempt). The Bowling Green Falcons ran the football 27 different times and accumulated 77 yards, which earned them an average of 2.9 yards per tote. When all was said and done, they ran 74 plays which gave them 377 yds. Bowling Green relinquished 26 pass completions on 38 attempts for a total of 356 yds, and a completion percentage of 68.4%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Falcons gave up 191 yds on 37 attempts, which calculates to 5.2 yards per run allowed.

The Falcons have earned 970 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Bowling Green has earned 10 passing touchdowns and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 2 different times. Bowling Green has 55 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 22 infractions for 183 yds. As a team they average 87.3 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 119th in college football. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Bowling Green Falcons hold an average of 36.0 PPG.

In terms of passing yards, the Falcons are giving up 1,037 yds which ranks them 123rd in the nation. They have given up 345.7 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 71.1%. For the season, they have surrendered 538.3 yards per outing which has them ranked 129th in college football. They have yielded 8 touchdowns by air in addition to 8 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 4.9 yards per run and 192.7 rushing yards per game on the season. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 578 rushing yards through 3 outings. The Falcons rank 128th in the country regarding team defense, giving up 45.0 points per game.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 2-1 for this season. For their last game, the Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 31-16 against the LSU Tigers. Will Rogers (1 touchdown) ended the game with 214 yards on 24/42 passing while his quarterback rating was 103. He tossed 1 interception and his Y/A was 5.1. Jo'quavious Marks carried the rock 9 times for 50 yds, finishing the game with 5.6 yards per attempt for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 287 yds and they ran 65 plays (4.4 yds per play). Mississippi State rushed for 3.2 yards per attempt, totaling 73 yards on 23 carries. Mississippi State conceded 39 rushing attempts for 210 yards (5.4 yds per carry). The Bulldogs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 59.5%, relinquishing 210 yards on 22 out of 37 through the air.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 420.0 yards/game, which has them ranked 68th in college football. The Mississippi State offense has compiled 175 yds of penalties on 15 violations, which has them ranked 102nd in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. During this campaign so far, the Bulldogs have compiled 984 passing yards as well as an average of 328.0 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 12th in college football. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Bulldogs are ranked 58th in the country with an average of 34.7 PPG.

Mississippi State has conceded a total of 379 yards rushing (126.3 yards per outing) and 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the campaign. They have allowed the opposition 3 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 217.0 yards/contest, which puts them in 71st in college football. The Bulldogs defense has participated in 203 plays, which is 62nd in the nation. The Bulldogs are allowing 23.7 points per game, which has them ranked 63rd in D-1. This season, they have relinquished 71 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +30.5

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