Baylor Bears vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 12/22/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Thursday, December 22, 2022

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

The Air Force Falcons (9-3) will try to defeat the Baylor Bears (6-6) at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Thursday, December 22, 2022 in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl. Air Force opens this matchup as 5.5-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 44.5.

The Baylor Bears come into this game with a record of 6-6 this season. In their last matchup, the Bears played the Texas Longhorns and took a loss by a score of 38-27. Blake Shapen finished 18/36 with 179 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 104.5 and finished the game with 1 interception. Richard Reese was the rushing leader for the Bears with 15 attempts for 54 yards (3.6 yards per attempt). The Baylor Bears ran the rock 39 different times and tallied 101 yds, which earned them an average of 2.6 yards per tote. On the day, they tallied 75 plays which gave them 280 yards. Baylor allowed 12 pass completions on 16 tries for a total of 194 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. Against the run, the Bears gave up 208 yards on 48 attempts, which averages out to 4.3 yds per run surrendered.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Baylor Bears are averaging 33.6 PPG. As a unit they hold an average of 194.1 yards on the ground ranking them 34th in the country. The Bears have earned 5,150 yards in total for this campaign. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Baylor has compiled 17 passing touchdowns and 34 touchdowns via the ground. Baylor has compiled 286 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 58 infractions for 508 yards. They have turned the ball over 17 different times.

The Bears are sitting in 65th in college football in terms of team defense, allowing 26.6 points per contest. They are allowing 3.8 yards per tote and 137.6 rushing yards per contest this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,651 running yards through 12 games. In terms of yards via the pass, the Bears have given up 2,794 yds which ranks them 74th in Division 1. They have conceded 232.8 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 61.1%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 370.3 yards per outing which ranks them 60th in D-1. They have conceded 16 touchdowns through the air as well as 22 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 9-3 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons took home the win by a final score of 13-3 when they played the San Diego State Aztecs. Brad Roberts carried the football 35 times for 187 yds, ending the game with 5.3 yds per carry for Air Force. Haaziq Daniels ended the contest with 14 yards on 1/2 passing while his QB rating was 108.8. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.0. Air Force surrendered 15 run attempts for -1 yards (-0.1 yds per rush). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 51.6%, surrendering 188 yds on 16 for 31 through the air. The Falcons finished the contest with 285 yards while running 69 plays (4.1 yds per play). Air Force ran the ball for 4.1 yards per tote, totaling 271 yds on 66 attempts.

The Air Force Falcons are averaging 398.7 yards/game, which has them sitting 61st in D-1. The Air Force offense has racked up 366 yds of penalties on 49 violations, which has them sitting 126th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. Over the course of the season so far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 814 passing yards as well as an average of 67.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 131st in Division 1. Concerning how much they score, the Falcons are sitting 73rd in the nation with 27.7 PPG.

The Falcons are giving up 13.3 points per game, which has them ranked 3rd in college football. Air Force has allowed a total of 1,198 yards on the ground (99.8 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns on the ground for the year. This year, they have conceded 160 points in total. They have conceded 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 156.7 yards/outing, ranking them 2nd in Division 1. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 608 plays, which is 1st in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +5.5

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