Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/8/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 8, 2022

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62

The Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2) are hitting the road to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday where they will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1). Mississippi State opens as 5.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 62.

The Arkansas Razorbacks head into this matchup 3-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Razorbacks took the field against the Alabama Crimson Tide and went home with a loss by a final score of 49-26. K.J. Jefferson finished 13/24 with 155 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 122.2 and ended the contest with no interceptions. Raheim Sanders was the rushing leader for the Razorbacks with 22 totes for 101 yds (4.6 yards per carry). In all, they had 85 plays which converted into 377 yards. The Arkansas Razorbacks ran the football 51 times and totaled 187 yards, which had them averaging 3.7 yds per carry. In the running game, the Razorbacks gave up 317 yds on 42 attempts, which calculates to 7.5 yds per rush surrendered. Arkansas conceded 11 completions on 22 tries for 238 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Arkansas Razorbacks are sitting at 32.0 PPG. As a unit they hold an average of 232.4 yards via the ground game which is 9th in Division 1. The Razorbacks currently have 2,293 total yards for the year. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Arkansas has earned 9 passing touchdowns and 11 touchdowns on the ground. Arkansas has accrued 124 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 32 penalties for 303 yds. They have surrendered the ball 6 times.

When talking about passing yards, the Razorbacks are allowing 1,448 yds which ranks them 121st in D-1. They have yielded 289.6 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 57.1%. During this campaign, they are giving up 433.0 yards/outing ranking them 112th in Division 1. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rush on the ground and 143.4 yards on the ground per contest on the season. During the season, they have given up 717 yards via the ground game in 5 games. The Razorbacks are ranked 100th in D-1 in terms of team defense, allowing 30.6 PPG.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 4-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 42-24 when they played the Texas A&M Aggies. Will Rogers (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 329 yds on 31/45 passing while his QB rate was 152.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.3. Dillon Johnson carried the ball 14 times for 68 yards, ending the contest with 4.9 yards per carry for Mississippi State. Mississippi State ran for 6.0 yards per tote, finishing the game with 144 yds on 24 carries. The Bulldogs ended up finishing with 473 yds and they ran 69 plays (6.9 yards per play). The Bulldogs secondary gave up a completion percentage of 64.1%, relinquishing 252 yds on 25 out of 39 passing. Mississippi State gave up 31 rushing attempts for 136 yds (4.4 yds per carry).

The Mississippi State Bulldogs maintain an average of 440.0 yards per contest, which ranks them 45th in the nation. The Mississippi State offense has 343 yds of penalties on 31 infractions, which is 68th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. For the year to this point, the Bulldogs currently have a total of 1,733 passing yards not to mention an average of 346.6 passing yards per outing, putting them at 7th in the nation. Concerning their ability to score points, the Bulldogs are ranking 24th in D-1 with 38.2 points per contest.

Mississippi State has allowed a total of 590 rushing yards (118.0 yards per game) as well as 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 215.0 yards/contest, ranking them 56th in the country. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 329 plays, which ranks 58th in D-1. The Bulldogs are relinquishing 21.8 points per game, which has them sitting 45th in D-1. This year, they have surrendered 109 points.

Who will win tonight's Razorbacks/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -5.5

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