Alabama Crimson Tide vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 10/1/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Razorbacks (+14.5)

Total/Over-Under: 62.5

Razorback Stadium is where the Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) will attempt to defeat the Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) on Saturday. Alabama is 14.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 62.5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Crimson Tide faced the Vanderbilt Commodores and walked away with a win by a score of 55-3. Bryce Young connected on 25/36 with 385 yards passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rating of 195.9 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Jase McClellan was the rushing leader for the Crimson Tide with 11 totes for 78 yds (7.1 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 77 plays which gave them a total of 628 yards. The Alabama Crimson Tide ran the rock 34 times and totaled 228 yards, which is an average of 6.7 yards per carry. On the ground, the Crimson Tide conceded 14 yds on 26 tries, which averages out to 0.5 yds per run surrendered. Alabama gave up 13 completions on 26 attempts for 115 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%.

The Crimson Tide have tallied 2,070 total yards for the year. In terms of scoring, Alabama has totaled 14 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 5 different times. Alabama has amassed 103 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 33 penalties for 255 yards. As a unit they average 235.0 yards rushing which ranks them 10th in the nation. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Alabama Crimson Tide are sitting at 48.3 PPG.

The Crimson Tide are sitting in 3rd in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 7.3 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 1.8 yards per rushing attempt and 62.5 rushing yards per game this season. In total, they have conceded 250 rushing yards through 4 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Crimson Tide have given up 555 yards which puts them in 9th in the nation. They have given up 138.8 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 52.8%. In total, they have yielded 201.3 yards/game which has them sitting 2nd in D-1. They have relinquished 0 touchdown by air and 2 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Razorbacks head into this matchup 3-1 for this season. For their last game, the Razorbacks went home defeated by a final of 23-21 when they played the Texas A&M Aggies. K.J. Jefferson (2 TDs) ended the game with 171 yards on 12/19 passing while his QB rating was 173.5. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 9.0. K.J. Jefferson carried the ball 18 times for 105 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.8 yds per carry for Arkansas. Arkansas rushed the ball for 4.5 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 244 yards on 54 attempts. The Razorbacks finished the game with a total of 415 yds on 73 plays (5.7 yards per play). The Razorbacks secondary gave up a completion percentage of 52.4%, relinquishing 151 yards on 11 out of 21 through the air. Arkansas surrendered 34 rush attempts for 192 yards (5.6 yds per rush).

When looking at putting points on the board, the Razorbacks are sitting 55th in college football with an average of 33.5 PPG. For the season to this point, the Razorbacks have thrown for 941 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 235.3 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 78th in the country. The Arkansas Razorbacks maintain an average of 479.0 yards per outing, which ranks them 26th in D-1. The Arkansas offense has compiled 272 yards of penalties on 26 violations, ranking them 57th in college football in terms of helping out the other team.

The Razorbacks are giving up 26.0 PPG, ranking them 77th in the nation. Arkansas has surrendered a total of 397 rushing yards (99.3 yards per outing) as well as 7 touchdowns rushing this year. This season, they have relinquished 104 points in total. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 302.5 yards per game, which has them ranked 126th in Division 1. The Razorbacks defense has been on the field for 272 plays, ranking them 69th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Razorbacks college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Crimson Tide -14.5

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