Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 10/8/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Saturday, October 8, 2022

Location: Maverik Stadium in Logan, UT

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The Utah State Aggies (1-4) will try to defeat the Air Force Falcons (4-1) at Maverik Stadium on Saturday. Air Force opens this game as 9-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 54.

The Air Force Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 for this year. In their last matchup, the Falcons played against the Navy Midshipmen and earned the victory with a final of 13-10. Haaziq Daniels went 6/8 with 156 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 280.1 and ended the contest with no picks. Brad Roberts led the offense in rushing for the Falcons with 23 totes for 108 yards (4.7 yards per carry). In the game, they tallied 55 plays for 356 yds. The Air Force Falcons ended up rushing 47 different times and had 200 yds, which is an average of 4.3 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Falcons conceded 114 yards on 36 attempts, which is an average of 3.2 yds per rush surrendered. Air Force relinquished 11 completions on 20 tries for 129 yards, and a completion rate of 55.0%.

The Falcons have tallied 2,303 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Air Force has amassed 5 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times. Air Force has accounted for 108 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 18 infractions for 141 yds. As a team they're averaging 369.8 yards on the ground ranking them 1st in college football. When talking about putting points on the board, the Air Force Falcons have an average of 32.8 points per game.

Regarding passing yards, the Falcons are allowing 758 yds which ranks them 10th in D-1. They have surrendered 151.6 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 56.9%. In total, they have surrendered 278.8 yards/outing which puts them 14th in Division 1. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 6 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for 4.4 yards per rush and 127.2 rushing yards per game for the campaign. For the season, they have allowed 636 running yards through 5 outings. The Falcons are sitting in 18th in the country concerning team defense, giving up 14.8 PPG.

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The Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 1-4 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Aggies took a loss by a final score of 38-26 against the BYU Cougars. Cooper Legas (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 188 yards on 19/31 passing while his QB rating was 120.6. He tossed 2 picks and his Y/A was 6.1. Calvin Tyler Jr. carried the football 18 times for 104 yds, ending the game with 5.8 yds per carry for Utah State. Utah State ran for 4.2 yards per carry, totaling 204 yds on 49 attempts. The Aggies finished with 392 yds on 81 plays (4.8 yards per play). The Aggies pass defense allowed a completion rate of 64.3%, surrendering 280 yds on 18 out of 28 passing. Utah State relinquished 32 rush attempts for 117 yards (3.7 yds per rush).

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Aggies rank 120th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 17.6 points per outing. During this campaign to this point, the Aggies have compiled 1,008 yards through the air together with holding an average of 201.6 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 104th in Division 1. The Utah State Aggies have an average of 354.4 yards per game, which is good for 100th in D-1. The Utah State offense has compiled 432 yds of penalties on 47 violations, which ranks 4th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition.

Utah State has conceded a total of 942 rushing yards (188.4 yards per contest) in addition to 7 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. They have allowed 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 219.8 yards per outing, which puts them in 61st in the country. The Aggies defense has participated in 354 plays, which is good for 92nd in the nation. The Aggies are giving up 36.4 PPG, which has them ranked 120th in the country. This season, they have surrendered 182 total points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -9

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