Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 11/26/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, November 26, 2022

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The Air Force Falcons (8-3) are traveling to Snapdragon Stadium on Saturday where they will go up against the San Diego State Aztecs (7-4). San Diego State opens as 1-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 43.

The Air Force Falcons head into this game 8-3 for this year. In their last game, the Falcons faced the Colorado State Rams and walked away with a win by a score of 24-12. Haaziq Daniels connected on 0/2 with 0 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 0 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Brad Roberts was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 37 carries for 184 yds (5.0 yards per carry). On the day, they ran 73 plays which gave them 359 yds. The Air Force Falcons rushed the ball a total of 71 different times and tallied 359 yards, which came out to an average of 5.1 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 65 yards on 22 tries, which is an average of 3.0 yds per run allowed. Air Force surrendered 19 pass completions on 24 attempts for 179 yds, and a completion rate of 79.2%.

The Falcons have earned 4,499 total yards this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Air Force has earned 7 touchdowns through the air and 33 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 times. Air Force has recorded 231 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 45 infractions for 336 yards. As a team they're holding an average of 336.4 yards in the run game ranking them 1st in the nation. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Air Force Falcons are averaging 29.0 points per outing.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Falcons are allowing 1,692 yds which ranks them 3rd in the nation. They are conceding 153.8 yards per outing via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 60.5%. In total, they have yielded 262.7 yards/outing which has them sitting 3rd in the country. They have conceded 8 touchdowns by air and 10 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.7 yards per run and 108.9 rushing yards per contest on the season. Overall, they have given up 1,198 yards via the ground game in 11 games. The Falcons are sitting in 6th in the nation regarding team defense, giving up 14.2 PPG.

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The Aztecs head into this game 7-4 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Aztecs went home victorious with a score of 34-10 when they faced the New Mexico Lobos. Jalen Mayden (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 280 yards on 15/25 through the air while his QB rate was 172.5. He had 1 pick and his Y/A was 11.2. Kenan Christon carried the ball 10 times for 102 yds, walking away from the contest with 10.2 yards per carry for San Diego State. The Aztecs finished with a total of 459 yds and they ran 64 plays (7.2 yds per play). San Diego State ended up running for 4.7 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 177 yards on 38 attempts. San Diego State surrendered 26 run attempts for 97 yds (3.7 yards per rush). The Aztecs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 65.2%, surrendering 112 yards on 15 out of 23 through the air.

The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 333.9 yards/game, which ranks them 109th in college football. The San Diego State offense has 633 yds of penalties on 79 violations, which is good for 23rd in the nation in terms of hurting your team. During the season thus far, the Aztecs have thrown for a total of 1,863 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 169.4 passing yards per outing, which ranks 120th in D-1. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Aztecs are 101st in D-1 holding an average of 23.0 PPG.

The Aztecs are giving up 20.8 points per contest, which has them sitting 31st in Division 1. San Diego State has allowed a total of 1,275 rushing yards (115.9 yards/game) and 12 touchdowns on the ground for the year. Overall, they have allowed 229 points. They have conceded 19 touchdowns through the air and 224.1 yards per game, which has them in 70th in D-1. The Aztecs defense has been on the field for 710 plays, which ranks 35th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -1

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