Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction, 12/3/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs UTSA Roadrunners

Date: Friday, December 3, 2021

Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, TX

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Roadrunners (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 74.5

Alamodome is the site where the UTSA Roadrunners (11-1) will try to beat the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-4) on Friday. Western Kentucky opens as 1.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 74.5.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 8-4 for this season. In their last matchup, the Hilltoppers took on the Marshall Thundering Herd and walked away with a win by a score of 53-21. Bailey Zappe finished 25/48 with 328 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rating of 137.0 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Noah Whittington was the leader on the ground for the Hilltoppers with 14 carries for 69 yards (4.9 yards per attempt). The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ended up rushing 34 times and accrued 157 yds, which came out to an average of 4.6 yds per attempt. Overall, they ran 82 plays for 485 yds. Western Kentucky conceded 26 completions on 39 attempts for 199 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. On the ground, the Hilltoppers conceded 126 yds on 40 tries, which calculates to 3.2 yds per run surrendered.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have an average of 43.3 PPG. As a team they're averaging 102.3 yards in the run game which is 120th in D-1. The Hilltoppers have earned 6,301 yards in total for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Western Kentucky has totaled 53 touchdowns through the air and 10 rushing touchdowns. Western Kentucky has recorded 334 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 88 penalties for 703 yards. They have surrendered the football 16 different times.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Hilltoppers are allowing 3,132 yds which has them ranked 124th in college football. They are allowing 261.0 yards per outing through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 60.7%. During this campaign, they have allowed 411.3 yards/outing ranking them 104th in D-1. They have allowed 17 touchdowns by air and 22 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are giving up an average of 3.9 yards per attempt on the ground and 150.3 rushing yards per game this season. For the season, they have conceded 1,804 running yards through 12 games. The Hilltoppers are ranked 89th in college football in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 27.0 PPG.

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The Roadrunners come into this game with a record of 11-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Roadrunners walked away with a loss by a score of 45-23 against the North Texas Mean Green. Frank Harris finished the contest with 59 yds on 7/14 passing while his quarterback rate was 85.4. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 4.2. Sincere McCormick carried the football 12 times for 60 yds, finishing the game with 5.0 yards per attempt for UTSA. UTSA ran the football for 5.9 yds per attempt, totaling 205 yards on 35 carries. The Roadrunners finished the game with 366 yards and they ran 62 plays (5.9 yds per play). The Roadrunners passing defense gave up a completion rate of 58.8%, surrendering 116 yds on 10 for 17 through the air. UTSA surrendered 60 running attempts for 340 yards (5.7 yards per rush).

When looking at their scoring prowess, the Roadrunners currently sit 14th in D-1 holding an average of 36.9 points per game. For the season to this point, the Roadrunners have earned 3,054 yards via the pass as well as an average of 254.5 passing yards per game, ranking them 46th in college football. The UTSA Roadrunners maintain an average of 433.9 yards per game, which ranks them 41st in D-1. The UTSA offense has racked up 548 yards of penalties on 54 infractions, which is 118th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes.

UTSA has conceded a total of 1,456 rushing yards (121.3 yards per game) and 12 touchdowns rushing so far this season. They have conceded 20 touchdowns via the pass and 225.2 yards per game, which has them sitting 75th in the country. The Roadrunners defense has been on the field for 772 plays, which is 37th in the nation. The Roadrunners are giving up 22.2 points per game, which puts them 47th in the country. This season, they have given up 266 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Hilltoppers/Roadrunners college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Hilltoppers -1.5

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